Cobra's Market View

Pretty rare to have unfilled up gaps on Fed day.

https://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/1 ... ay-update/

-D

Was that it?

I have no clue - but here is a bit of history about how the market trends at the end of October and in to early November.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/10 ... ay-update/

-D

It was really quite an unusual opex week. The price action on Thursday & Friday was more in line with a market that is in a bottoming process.... http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/10232017-intra-day-update/ I am afraid I really have limited historical perspective on this market.... but I did ...

Just an amazing market - another surprising opex week streak continues:

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/10 ... ay-update/


Not that much for the bears for this opex week,

D

Hi!

FOMC Preview and post Opex comments have been posted here:

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/09 ... ay-update/

Must admit I am not really involved.

-D

I do not have a strong view here.

These are just a few points about the history of September.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/09 ... ay-update/

ENJOY the holiday!

-D

Persistent bull vs historical tendencies....

Here is my FOMC preview - tough to fight the persistent bull..... especially in July, even if that is what history suggests one should do.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/07 ... ay-update/

-D

July opex preview is posted here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/07192017-intra-day-update/ Bulls have gone 3 for 3 on my July opex preview points that I noted here: https://pugsma.com/denalis-turning-points-2/denalis-turning-points-2017/ The market is definitely persistent.... Lets see if the...

Here is the overdue July preview link

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/07 ... ay-update/

Most important thing to remember is the opex week edge that will one day disappear.... but has not since last September....

Otherwise, not a lot to write about.

-D

Two things:

DAX has led the market this week and it is NOT HAPPY! It is below yesterday's lows.....

Here is a quick summary of a larger post that I am putting together on the 4th of July.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/06 ... ay-update/

Be back later,

-D

This is what has happened to the DAX today so it makes some sense.... (12,479 -168 or 1.3%) and it has really taken a leg lower here.... and taken out the May lows.... The computers seemed in control yesterday.... and you can not fight them.... Today, they seem to still have the MID and the RUT, but...

They will do anything to keep the market up..... but what is interesting is that the Euro has completely recovered the drop on those remarks and is now making new highs for the day.... I guess the Algos in FX are not as strong as the algos in Equities.... :lol: -D ECB blatant interference in the mar...

One day I will figure out how to properly paste these previews in to the comments section.

Here is my FOMC / Opex preview - bottom line is the primary turn is almost always post the FOMC announcement.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/06 ... ay-update/

-D

Update of a study that I did in May that proved accurate for today's conditions.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/06 ... ay-update/

Just something to be aware of if you are playing the short side....

It is only history...

-D

Quite rare to have a holiday top turn pre holiday, especially for Memorial Day.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/05 ... ay-update/

The RUT and MID are moving, the SPX is definitely not!

D

Lot of info in here...

Real question is whether 2017 is 2014 all over again or whether we are due that Q2 correction that almost always happens.... and which has started post May opex in 3 years recently (2008, 2013 and 2015)

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/05 ... ay-update/

-D

Just a few opex comments.

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2017/05 ... ay-update/

I am jet lagged and uninvolved.

-D

For sake of being easier to read.

my May preview is posted here:

https://pugsma.com/denalis-turning-poin ... ints-2017/

-D

Interesting article on times.... http://www.tradermentality.com/2016/02/intraday-reversal-times.html Good link - THANKS! I do think there is something there. I have also done some work on when the market is trending the whole first hour in 1 direction it tends to reverse around 10:30am... especiall...

It has taken some time, but it is amazing how consistent this rally on the first trading day of May has become. I will admit I saw some cautionary signs (but I am always seemingly too cautious), but I should never doubt the power of certain historical anomalies in the US equity market. I will never ...