Cobra's Market View

GM my estimates were late (guests etc) H/L est 2983.25 2962.25 21.00 and I have low confidence in these another possibility is a low of 2969.50 Dir was +1 from the model - but with a huge o/n upmove I don't have too much confidence in that. My gut feel is more or less sideways day as the o/n has tak...

some viscous stop running here

I think the possible paths are so bogus.
I'd rather just follow Cobra

can it push down a bit?

2:08 PM 6/27/2019

short from 89.75

Thu, Jun 13, 2019, 8:38 AM:
H/L est
2898.75
2869.25
29.50

so now with H2896.25 @ 08:46, in place the high est is no longer active.

High Est 2911.25
Actual High 2911.50
Dif= -0.25
Low Est 2884.75
Actual Low 2891.00
Dif= -6.25

(I HAVE to get more sleep! LOL)

OK I've figured out the error.
I take numbers from IB and somehow there was an error in one of the numbers I gathered before the open.
In any case here is the default (called auto est) which is generated by the model --
Auto est
2911.25
2884.75
26.50

Often I fiddle with it but here it is....

well too slow (again) this morning hard to get up on time both H&L estimates have been attained - and only 9:15am ! High Est 2912.25 Actual High 2911.50 Dif= 0.75 Low Est 2898.00 Actual Low 2897.00 Dif= 1.00 dtES, are these good for the whole day? Tight range... Yes you are right.. very tight. ...

ES 06-19 (15 Minute) 2019_06_11 (8_13_52 AM).png Pretty clear that yesterdays POC is a good target. Problem is yesterday was so block y you could use the dart board method and be able to support it. Yes yest was very blocky Have you noticed if such a block gives info about the next day? Today seems...

well too slow (again) this morning
hard to get up on time
both H&L estimates have been attained - and only 9:15am !

High Est 2912.25
Actual High 2911.50
Dif= 0.75
Low Est 2898.00
Actual Low 2897.00
Dif= 1.00

some news on price down spike?

H/L est= 2844.25 2805.50 38.75
(note also 2840.25 as high est - toss-up)

Dir 1
Range est 43.00

Things quite unclear this morning
(a bit late posting this

There was a signal today 13 -may that showed on 8 Mar. This MIGHT signal that today was a short-term low. Another signal gives today as a 1 day warning placing a ST low tomorrow. Today's C:O (or overnight gap) was -60 (can that be right???) and on 8 Mar it was -20. The next TD after 8 Mar was 11 Mar...

Act low 2802 I'm not up to speed - trying hard to be ready for open - but not there yet. The high est is an actual and the low is hard to nail as it looks like a breakdown day, so 2807 to 2800 or so. Be wary of US govt buy prg stepping in to stop a complete free-fall. Lots of invention for political...

I'm not up to speed - trying hard to be ready for open - but not there yet. The high est is an actual and the low is hard to nail as it looks like a breakdown day, so 2807 to 2800 or so. Be wary of US govt buy prg stepping in to stop a complete free-fall. Lots of invention for political reasons. Mod...

(Going back to bed... not feeling 100%)
Dir 1
Range est 25.25-28.50
H/L est 2940.50 2912.50 28.00

For friday 3 May: April nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000, while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 200,000. The prior month's increase was revised to 198,000 from 196,000. Nonfarm private payrolls rose by 236,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 180,000. ...

A jump of more than 2 million barrels per day in U.S. crude oil production since early 2018 to a record 12.1 million bpd has made the United States the world's biggest producer, ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Interesting Historical tidbit - This day in 1907 https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/19/03/11358937/this-day-in-market-history-the-panic-of-1907 "Where The Market Was The Dow dropped 6.89 points to close at 76.23. The S&P 500 was trading at around 9. Today, the Dow is trading at 25,...