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by flumanchu
Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:30 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 06/30/2016 Live Update
Replies: 132
Views: 23991

Re: 06/30/2016 Live Update

. Check this out for Reverse Repos: https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/temp Typically 40 - 50 and market is even - above that and it's going up. Not 100%, but close. Tomorrow's 278 Here's Last 25: Delivery Date Maturity Date Tsy-Submit Tsy-Accept 06/30/2016 07/01/2016 278.809 278.809 06/2...
by flumanchu
Thu Jun 30, 2016 1:42 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 06/30/2016 Live Update
Replies: 132
Views: 23991

Re: 06/30/2016 Live Update

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Is anyone looking at the Reverse Repos this week?
No wonder the market is up like crazy this week.

The deployment tomorrow is about 5 times normal and the other days this week have been 2 - 3 times normal.

PPT to the Rescue, Baby!

Flumanchu

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by flumanchu
Thu Nov 05, 2015 10:36 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/05/2015 Live Update
Replies: 223
Views: 32779

Re: 11/05/2015 Live Update

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I've been looking at Oil and from what I'm seeing, there should be a huge rally beginning tomorrow. Based on that, my guess is NFP is low, dollar is lower, oil and gold up, and Market is Up. No rate rise in Dec - which we all knew was going to happen.

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by flumanchu
Tue Oct 20, 2015 8:11 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/20/2015 Live Update
Replies: 196
Views: 148700

Re: 10/20/2015 Live Update

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Well, 10 pages on cobra today- time for another bull run?

We'll see tomorrow.

GLTA

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by flumanchu
Tue Oct 13, 2015 10:31 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/13/2015 Live Update
Replies: 189
Views: 62554

Re: 10/13/2015 Live Update

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10 pages today on Cobra
- normally sign of a bottom in the market.

Just sayin'

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by flumanchu
Thu Apr 09, 2015 9:23 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 04/09/2015 Live Update
Replies: 134
Views: 22966

Re: 04/09/2015 Live Update

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I just noticed we had 10 pages on yesterday's comments - normally this signals a bottom in the market.

GLTA
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by flumanchu
Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:30 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/07/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 26
Views: 6908

Re: 02/07/2015 Weekend Update

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Oh my! I just checked out some indicators I like to use with JNK, IEF, and JNK:IEF. Yesterday, was definitely a flow out of longer dated assets.

This thing is going up Big-Time next week!

GLTA

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by flumanchu
Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:05 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/07/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 26
Views: 6908

Re: 02/07/2015 Weekend Update

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11 pages for yesterday's board - over 10 has typically been enough excitement for a bottom in the past -

just sayin'...

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by flumanchu
Tue Oct 28, 2014 3:55 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/28/2014 Live Update
Replies: 113
Views: 60104

Re: 10/28/2014 Live Update

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POMO for today has done it's job.

At this point, we're out of POMO for the month - Good luck tomorrow.

This drive up could last until the end of this week, but with the Fed in play, who knows... only the Fed.

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by flumanchu
Mon Oct 27, 2014 2:45 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/27/2014 Live Update
Replies: 71
Views: 14835

Re: 10/27/2014 Live Update

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From what I can tell, POMO was not deployed today (saved for tomorrow- Tuesday).

Therefore, the markets should be up nicely tomorrow.

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by flumanchu
Fri Oct 24, 2014 12:11 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/24/2014 Live Update
Replies: 95
Views: 36020

Re: 10/24/2014 Live Update

. It appears more POMO (from yesterday) is being deployed today, so this grind up will probably continue thru the EOD. Keep in mind, Mon / Tue is the last day for POMO. There's enough to keep the market even / up on one of those days. After that, we might be out of the POMO game (QE3). Warning! - Wi...
by flumanchu
Thu Oct 23, 2014 12:38 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/23/2014 Live Update
Replies: 149
Views: 59489

Re: 10/23/2014 Live Update

. With the market up this much, I would expect it to be due solely to POMO ($1.65 Billion). However, I'm not sure all of it is really been deployed today, and might be saving some for tomorrow. There's an indicator I look at that seems to correlate when POMO is deployed, and while some has been used...
by flumanchu
Tue Oct 21, 2014 12:12 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/21/2014 Live Update
Replies: 107
Views: 22036

Re: 10/21/2014 Live Update

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Just to reiterate - $4.5 billion POMO this week - almost half of the entire amount ($10 B) for this month.

Also, both of the breadth indicators I track have turned bullish as of yesterday. This thing is going much higher, very quickly.

Be Careful...

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by flumanchu
Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:05 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update
Replies: 29
Views: 8093

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

. $4.5 billion POMO next week. Should be enough to start a pretty strong short squeeze. Mon, Oct 20, 2014 Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2019 - 06/30/2020 $1.00 - $1.25 billion Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Wed, Oct 22, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 11/15/2021 - 08/15/2024 ...
by flumanchu
Mon Oct 13, 2014 6:03 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/13/2014 Live Update
Replies: 100
Views: 32967

Re: 10/13/2014 Live Update

. I'm with Flowergirl on this one. Bond ratio I'm looking at supports a bottom here - just like June 1 2012. Though this is an early call as a breadth indicator I like has not turned yet. Some POMO also will be deployed either tomorrow or wed for the remainder of the week. Should be enough for a mig...
by flumanchu
Sat Oct 11, 2014 10:01 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/11/2014 Weekend Update
Replies: 53
Views: 13896

Re: 10/11/2014 Weekend Update

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How about, they push this up to make it look like a H&S so all the bears get aboard, then squeeze it up for the EOY rally?

No H&S for the bears has worked in the last few years - none, only inverse H&S for the bulls.

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by flumanchu
Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:14 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/10/204 Live Update
Replies: 127
Views: 32100

Re: 10/10/204 Live Update

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If 1905 SPX can hold thru Monday, there might be one doozy of a rally next week into OPEX.

Just sayin'....

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by flumanchu
Fri Oct 10, 2014 9:39 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/10/204 Live Update
Replies: 127
Views: 32100

Re: 10/10/204 Live Update

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No POMO until next Wednesday

And, all these Bond Auctions this week and next - pulling money from the primary dealers, instead of providing them with funds to support the market (POMO).

It's not necessarily the Selling, there's just no money left to Buy Stocks with...

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by flumanchu
Thu Oct 09, 2014 12:27 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/09/2014 Live Update
Replies: 162
Views: 30119

Re: 10/09/2014 Live Update

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Just have to say it again - No POMO until next Wednesday.

And, Breadth is confirming this drop, so far...

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by flumanchu
Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:15 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/08/2014 Live Update
Replies: 137
Views: 24401

Re: 10/08/2014 Live Update

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Thank you so much for that!

(btw - Ignore button just clicked)

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