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by Kato
Thu Jul 18, 2013 2:52 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 07/18/2013 Live Update
Replies: 127
Views: 25888

Re: 07/18/2013 Live Update

Denali92 wrote:Latest comment is here - I cover extensively the MAJOR July opex turns!

http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/07 ... ay-update/

-D

Denali - I don't see your comment in the intraday comments section
by Kato
Thu Jul 18, 2013 12:00 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 07/18/2013 Live Update
Replies: 127
Views: 25888

Re: 07/18/2013 Live Update

The most important chart today - SPX vs NYAD Cumulative. If my charts are correct this is the first time since the March 2009 lows that the SPX has made a new high where Cumulative NYAD did not. The day is not over, however, this is a warning to the bulls to not get too complacent. NYAD Cumulative.P...
by Kato
Tue Jun 04, 2013 10:21 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 06/04/2013 Live Update
Replies: 185
Views: 116647

Re: 06/04/2013 Live Update

Diamond breakdown and retest. Target in the 1590-1600 area.
Triangle breakdown.PNG
by Kato
Wed May 29, 2013 11:14 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/29/2013 Live Update
Replies: 116
Views: 25820

Re: 05/29/2013 Live Update

SPX down 20 pts and TRIN at 0.45 ????? Anyone.....Bueller??

TRIN.PNG
by Kato
Tue May 21, 2013 2:17 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/21/2013 Live Update
Replies: 105
Views: 19030

Re: 05/21/2013 Live Update

Upward breakout in the VIX coming? Every squeeze of the bollingers has resulted in a strong move up in the VIX ever since the rally started in November.

VIX.PNG
by Kato
Thu May 16, 2013 2:42 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/16/2013 Live Update
Replies: 128
Views: 27603

Re: 05/16/2013 Live Update

Here is the long-term chart of the Silver/Gold Ratio (I forgot to include it in my earlier post) This is why I do not believe we are in a period similar to 1995 as some are now considering given the strong uptrend we are in.
Screen Shot 2013-05-16 at 2.23.08 PM.png
by Kato
Thu May 16, 2013 12:12 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/16/2013 Live Update
Replies: 128
Views: 27603

Re: 05/16/2013 Live Update

Is the Silver/Gold ratio pointing to another deflationary wave? The last time the Silver/Gold ratio broke its upsloping support trend line was in August of 2007. Following that break the SPX rallied to a major top in October. The number of calendar days from that trend line break to the major top wa...
by Kato
Fri May 03, 2013 11:57 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/03/2013 Live Update
Replies: 116
Views: 63989

Re: 05/03/2013 Live Update

I'd feel better about this breakout if GE could confirm (still 5% below its highs)

Screen Shot 2013-05-03 at 11.55.16 AM.png
by Kato
Sun Mar 24, 2013 2:02 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/23/2013 Weekend Update
Replies: 60
Views: 16497

Re: 03/23/2013 Weekend Update

Big move coming in Silver? The last time the BBs were this narrow a big move up resulted (note-I use 25ma BBs) The question is which direction will this move be. Screen Shot 2013-03-24 at 1.44.20 PM.png SLV:GLD long term trend line was recently breached to the downside Screen Shot 2013-03-24 at 1.47...
by Kato
Thu Mar 21, 2013 2:07 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/21/2013 Live Update
Replies: 238
Views: 100587

Re: 03/21/2013 Live Update

Is another cyclical period of deflation dead ahead? The following chart is a reproduction of a chart developed by Erik Swarts at marketanthology.com If one measures performance of the SPX vs the Silver:Gold ratio since the start of what many refer to as the beginning of the secular bear market in Ma...
by Kato
Fri Mar 15, 2013 3:50 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/15/2013 Live Update
Replies: 218
Views: 79247

Re: 03/15/2013 Live Update

Small Diamond Top on 15min SPX??
Screen Shot 2013-03-15 at 3.49.29 PM.png
by Kato
Wed Mar 13, 2013 2:22 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/13/2013 Live Update
Replies: 210
Views: 31976

Re:

MrMiyagi wrote:
Kato wrote:TSX down move accelerating
Interesting divergence with SPX

TSX is heavily weighted with commodities, namely gold miners.

Agree - golds getting hit today, but other sectors also selling off
Screen Shot 2013-03-13 at 2.20.16 PM.png
by Kato
Wed Mar 13, 2013 2:08 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/13/2013 Live Update
Replies: 210
Views: 31976

Re: 03/13/2013 Live Update

TSX down move accelerating

Interesting divergence with SPX
Screen Shot 2013-03-13 at 2.06.38 PM.png
by Kato
Wed Mar 13, 2013 10:08 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/13/2013 Live Update
Replies: 210
Views: 31976

Re: 03/13/2013 Live Update

Potential Double Top Forming on TSX

With yesterday's doji and today's decline, the TSX may be developing a double top. A break of 12605 will be needed to confirm.

Screen Shot 2013-03-13 at 10.06.17 AM.png
by Kato
Sat Mar 09, 2013 11:04 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/09/2013 Weekend Update
Replies: 70
Views: 32731

Re: 03/09/2013 Weekend Update

SPX divergence with CRB is getting uncomfortably large. While "this time might be different" and the divergence might get even larger (2000) the probabilities are increasing that this bull is close to exhaustion.
Screen Shot 2013-03-09 at 9.49.40 AM.png
by Kato
Wed Feb 20, 2013 12:00 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/20/2013 Live Update
Replies: 227
Views: 47557

Re: 02/20/2013 Live Update

My JNK:SPY chart is sending out an early warning for the bulls. Remember the adage..."the stock market is the credit markets stupid little brother"
Screen Shot 2013-02-20 at 10.54.50 AM.png
by Kato
Mon Feb 04, 2013 1:08 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/04/2013 Live Update
Replies: 207
Views: 76085

Re: 02/04/2013 Live Update

Friday's SPY gapped filled. Looks like ajvs was on to something calling for an exhaustion gap. Island reversal pattern on daily SPY also forming?
by Kato
Wed Jan 23, 2013 1:24 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 01/23/2013 Live Update
Replies: 245
Views: 46605

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

The Citi US Macro index has turned negative for the first time since early September and this has had a correlation with the market in the past. Thanks bullbear12. What this chart makes glaringly obvious is that the stockmarket has ceased to be a discounting mechanism for the economy. Notice how mo...
by Kato
Thu Jul 26, 2012 2:31 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 07/26/2012 Live Update
Replies: 281
Views: 47727

Re: 07/26/2012 Live Update

I like to look at OEX relative to RUT to get a sense of risk on or risk off. Outperformance of large caps vs small caps is a warning sign. Check out the similar pattern today and that of 2007 in the OEX:RUT chart. Interesting. If history repeats the market may be in for some hurt. Screen shot 2012-0...
by Kato
Tue Jun 12, 2012 12:28 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 06/12/2012 Live Update
Replies: 202
Views: 32661

Re: 06/12/2012 Live Update

While everyone has been focusing on the IHS targeting 1403, the market has built a smaller HS targeting 1279 if fulfilled. Hmmmm.
Screen shot 2012-06-12 at 12.27.16 PM.png