Smart money remains huge short so not case 2.) yet, therefore not bottomed?
How I use the chart:
I don't care what's the logic behind the chart. I found it works in the following two cases:
1.) When market up huge, if I see smart money huge short, best if new record short, then I know a short-term pullback is due soon.
2.) When market down, if I see smart money suddenly rises sharply from very negative value, then I know the pullback was over.
So I only use this chart for the above 2 cases. Besides those 2 cases, it means nothing to me. i.e. the absolute value of this chart means nothing to me, I only care if it rises sharply or drops sharply.
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The Bank of Japan has decided to target the yield curve in its monetary policy.
I would like to point out that the yield curve is a result of monetary policy and market expectations, not a tool. This will work as well as price controls did when used to fight inflation.
This is terrible policy and could have terrible results.