SPY bottomed a couple of weeks ago in a pierce of its lower BB.
Rallies that ensue off of such bottoms are numerous. This one is getting long with 8 days up. I looked at SPY from January 1st, 2007 to the present. I count 35 rallies that fit the current scenario. ALL of them, 35/35, either did not end before piercing the upper BB, or came EXTREMELY close to doing so (and there were only 4-5 that were such "near misses").
I could NOT find a SINGLE case where such a rally topped out in the middle of the BB, like where we are now.
I think the minimum target is 186 on SPY. However, in several cases the rally kept going beyond the first pierce of the upper BB. What I can say is a top right NOW has not happened in this setup in the past 7+ years.
Minimum target has been reached. We can still go higher, but history is now 36/36 on this trend.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
lunch time, will be back. it's first touch of EMA20, wait for H1 or H2 to buy.
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Anyways...HPQ bulls should beware of a possible "A" wave to the downside... How far it retraces for "B" is unknown, but this "potential" wave count suggests price gets down below "A" at some point....so could go to $9 or $10 at some point...
At that point perhaps HP would be a longer term buy??
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