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10/18/2014 Weekend Update

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3DM
Posts: 33
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2012 4:18 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by 3DM »

hello,
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on Thursday the spot price of copper fell below the mid June low. soon it might test the March low of 2.92 - 3
on Thursday the spot price of copper fell below the mid June low. soon it might test the March low of 2.92 - 3
the five year chart looks like a descending triangle
the five year chart looks like a descending triangle
fehro
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:06 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by fehro »

fwiw. http://www.tradingview.com/.. interesting indicator showing moon phases. SPY 2h
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Screen Shot 2014-10-19 at 9.11.38 AM.png
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DellGriffith
Posts: 1803
Joined: Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:24 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by DellGriffith »

fehro wrote:fwiw. http://www.tradingview.com/.. interesting indicator showing moon phases. SPY 2h
Heh the new moons have a perfect record in that chart!

1. If RSI is not in a downtrend, then new moons signal continuation of a rally and higher prices. (first 3 new moons)
2. If RSI is in a downtrend, then new moons signal a high with lower prices to follow. (second 3 new moons)

Of course 6 data points is not enough, but amusing!
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
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Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Art Hill found a Bullish Island Reversal on DIA, the dow ETF (which followed selling-climax volume last week).
That is now the line-in-the-sand for bulls. As long as the reversal gap holds, the bulls are alive.
1019dia island2_png.png
Schaeffer notes that NAAIM, The National Association of Active Investment Managers (weekly survey asking mgrs what their current equity exposure is)
at 9.97% is at the lowest level since Oct. 12, 2011. They believe this bearish reading “indicates there is a lot of cash that could flow into the market.”
WEEKLY chart shows bottom zone (it has gone lower). A long signal is triggered as it turns back up above the green line(s).
1019naaim_png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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BullBear52x
Posts: 29580
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Last two hours of Friday changed a turn signal to be stronger bulls Hmm....if in doubt, cash is king... ;)
MO MO are bullish bias
2.PNG
Weekly candle, it's hammer time! Bears beware.
1.PNG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

“This is the most important chart in the world right now”
“This increases the likelihood of two things. First, that the eurozone is heading towards a Japanese-style deflationary trap.
And, second, that the ECB will engage in full-blown quantitative easing to ward off such an unappealing prospect”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/econ ... t-now.html

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/econ ... toric.html
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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DellGriffith
Posts: 1803
Joined: Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:24 pm

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by DellGriffith »

Image

Image
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
flumanchu
Posts: 146
Joined: Fri Dec 06, 2013 11:46 am

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by flumanchu »

.

$4.5 billion POMO next week.

Should be enough to start a pretty strong short squeeze.

Mon, Oct 20, 2014 Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2019 - 06/30/2020 $1.00 - $1.25 billion
Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Wed, Oct 22, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 11/15/2021 - 08/15/2024 $1.40 - $1.70 billion
Thu, Oct 23, 2014 Fri, Oct 24, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2020 - 09/30/2021 $1.35 - $1.65 billion

One of my breadth indicators has already turned.
Another based on a ratio of short / long bonds is very close. With these bond purchases from POMO, breadth will continue to improve as the money is moved into the market, squeezing shorts - Big Time.

Be Careful...

.

.
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gappy
Posts: 3163
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2011 3:34 pm
Location: Peapatch Tx

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by gappy »

flumanchu wrote:.

$4.5 billion POMO next week.

Should be enough to start a pretty strong short squeeze.

Mon, Oct 20, 2014 Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2019 - 06/30/2020 $1.00 - $1.25 billion
Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Wed, Oct 22, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 11/15/2021 - 08/15/2024 $1.40 - $1.70 billion
Thu, Oct 23, 2014 Fri, Oct 24, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2020 - 09/30/2021 $1.35 - $1.65 billion

One of my breadth indicators has already turned.
Another based on a ratio of short / long bonds is very close. With these bond purchases from POMO, breadth will continue to improve as the money is moved into the market, squeezing shorts - Big Time.

Be Careful...

.

.
Fed must supply liquidity or else.
Capture.PNG
Thanks for being our watchdog Fluman.
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Vote Cobra. glta
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
daytradingES
Posts: 2245
Joined: Thu Sep 13, 2012 10:46 am

Re: 10/18/2014 Weekend Update

Post by daytradingES »

flumanchu wrote:.

$4.5 billion POMO next week.

Should be enough to start a pretty strong short squeeze.

Mon, Oct 20, 2014 Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2019 - 06/30/2020 $1.00 - $1.25 billion
Tue, Oct 21, 2014 Wed, Oct 22, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 11/15/2021 - 08/15/2024 $1.40 - $1.70 billion
Thu, Oct 23, 2014 Fri, Oct 24, 2014 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 07/31/2020 - 09/30/2021 $1.35 - $1.65 billion

One of my breadth indicators has already turned.
Another based on a ratio of short / long bonds is very close. With these bond purchases from POMO, breadth will continue to improve as the money is moved into the market, squeezing shorts - Big Time.

Be Careful...

.

.
Thanks flu
Educational only and not trading advice (EO&NTA) :)
Good trading to all
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