overlay chart, not percentage
pink is 1-3 year treasuries
black is 2 year treasuries
Usually with the pink/black moving up, I think folks are selling stocks and parking funds in the ultra short-term treasuries
But with SPY near highs, I think folks are continuing to dump the long bonds (like TLT 10yr, thick red) and buying/parking the funds in much
shorter-duration treasuries
If that’s the case, I’ll be watching for a bounce in TLT, which is extremely oversold.