fehro wrote:prefer to watch DXY.. better candles.. as UUP gaps a lot
Excellent point. I wouldn't trade UUP or its inverse equivalent, (UDN?)-- but intraday it's a useful way of tracking the dollar, and it can always be included in a table of ETFs, or an ETF heatmap.
Often UUP/DXY will hit a low or high at a key inflection point for a commodity denominated in dollars, and the commodity will follow in the currency's direction.
yes exactly… hence mind the ugly weekly candle /GC right chart.. and mind you 2 weeks to go.. but the left chart monthly candle .. not pretty at this stage.
DXY moves up sharply.. expecting more pain to gold
Herbalife (HLF) soared 18% after the Federal Trade Commission ruled that the network marketer was not a pyramid scheme. Billionaire hedge fund investor Bill Ackman had famously shorted the stock, calling the marketer of weight-loss shakes and other health supplements a pyramid scheme. -- IBD
And Icahn was on the other side of that personal disagreement.
I had sold some naked puts on HLF also at that time, based on what I perceived at its value.
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Charts posted are not recommendations. They are just a sharing of information.
Herbalife (HLF) soared 18% after the Federal Trade Commission ruled that the network marketer was not a pyramid scheme. Billionaire hedge fund investor Bill Ackman had famously shorted the stock, calling the marketer of weight-loss shakes and other health supplements a pyramid scheme. -- IBD
And Icahn was on the other side of that personal disagreement.
I had sold some naked puts on HLF also at that time, based on what I perceived at its value.
U 'DA MAN
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Herbalife (HLF) soared 18% after the Federal Trade Commission ruled that the network marketer was not a pyramid scheme. Billionaire hedge fund investor Bill Ackman had famously shorted the stock, calling the marketer of weight-loss shakes and other health supplements a pyramid scheme. -- IBD
And Icahn was on the other side of that personal disagreement.
I had sold some naked puts on HLF also at that time, based on what I perceived at its value.
U 'DA MAN
Hardly. Ha ha ... But ya get lucky sometimes. We like to play the games.
Charts posted are not recommendations. They are just a sharing of information.
fehro wrote:panicky spike down in VIX 12.27 low .. SPX gap fills.. SPY a penny short..
Fehro,
Is VIX hitting all time low in recent years?
I don't like VIX move today...S & P is hardly in green and VIX is down more than 2%...not a good sign...are we looking at VIX below 10 in coming month or so??
fehro wrote:panicky spike down in VIX 12.27 low .. SPX gap fills.. SPY a penny short..
Fehro,
Is VIX hitting all time low in recent years?
I don't like VIX move today...S & P is hardly in green and VIX is down more than 2%...not a good sign...are we looking at VIX below 10 in coming month or so??
fehro wrote:...ugly weekly candle /GC right chart, DXY moves up sharply.. expecting more pain to gold
So one would think Fehro, w equities at ATH, and the dollar stronger, but..
I continue to marvel at VXSLV and GVZ (silver and gold vol indexes) striking fresh 20day lows, and VXGDX (gold miners vix) hovering just above
yup.. question is we go much higher SPX?.. I'd expect FOMO (fear of missing out) to kick in.. and gold "may" sell off, and if money leaves TLT *Bonds.. and comes to Equities.. double whammy?
1993-1998 SPX all over again.. meaning this is just the start of a bull market. " seems" whacked... but price is king. We would need to see all indexes make new ATH
RUT/NDX/COMPQ and TRANS.. as of now.. they all lag.. so the uptrend is still suspect long term until.. all make new ATH. We had divergence on the indexes in 2001, and 2007 market tops.
Last edited by fehro on Fri Jul 15, 2016 10:59 am, edited 1 time in total.