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07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

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Cobra
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07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

Flat open, any gap will be filled. I see possible Rectangle formation is in the forming so more likely see another push up today.
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99er
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by 99er »

Good Morning.

Finally, a long weekend. Shall we go to the pool?
ES http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/07/es_01.html
What for...try out the 10-meter?
cheech
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cheech »

My proprietary TLT:TIP ratio is predicting more lows in the S&P. We have a ratio of 0.85 which has preceded every correction or consolidation in the market since 2003. It is now flashing a warning, so lower prices are ahead, although sometimes the market can levitate for a bit longer.

The red vertical lines signal the 0.85 level. This simply means inflation expectations are too high which corresponds to a sell off in risk assets. Only in a few cases was it painful to be short for very long when this signal flashed, so the bulls who are predicting new highs in the S&P before a lower low may be in for a surprise.
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99er
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by 99er »

Yeah! We can do swan dives or butterflies or whatever they're called.
EURUSD http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/07/eurusd.html
Fun!
kenwind
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by kenwind »

cheech wrote:My proprietary TLT:TIP ratio is predicting more lows in the S&P. We have a ratio of 0.85 which has preceded every correction or consolidation in the market since 2003. It is now flashing a warning, so lower prices are ahead, although sometimes the market can levitate for a bit longer.

The red vertical lines signal the 0.85 level. This simply means inflation expectations are too high which corresponds to a sell off in risk assets. Only in a few cases was it painful to be short for very long when this signal flashed, so the bulls who are predicting new highs in the S&P before a lower low may be in for a surprise.
Nice observation.
cougar
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cougar »

Good morning.
VIX for the bears: it is toward the end of an ABC correction, with a possible target around 15.
After this, an UP impulse should follow.
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HK88
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by HK88 »

I see a slow day today (range bound) as long as the data does not surprise too much.
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Cobra
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

the open.
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cheech
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cheech »

Oil, gold and most other risk assets are falling sharply. This is consistent with an environment where people expect too much inflation.
ken_d17
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by ken_d17 »

Apple is knocking on the bottom of that ten day wedge.

If the market reverses , likely trigger is here.
HK88
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by HK88 »

Dollar is also up, although not in a big way...
uempel
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Update SPX:
SPX.png
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putts
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by putts »

cougar wrote:Good morning.
VIX for the bears: it is toward the end of an ABC correction, with a possible target around 15.
After this, an UP impulse should follow.
Good call. Any thoughts when to buy TVIX?
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KENA
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

Big Ben did his last big push.Yesterday the liquidity was hugh,now we wait and see.

The NYSEBP on Dorsey Wright Point and Figure charts was up big yesterday.They now stand at 54.8%. It has to go to 58% to change to an up trend.Right now I am on the line to turn bullish but will be watching for a dn turn. Watch your charts.Have good trading and lets not rush into a mkt thats needs a pull back.
cougar
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cougar »

putts wrote:
cougar wrote:Good morning.
VIX for the bears: it is toward the end of an ABC correction, with a possible target around 15.
After this, an UP impulse should follow.
Good call. Any thoughts when to buy TVIX?
When we get the first signs of an aggressive reversal…
But, it will not be an easy call!
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Cobra
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

little resistance here. need more info.
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soku
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

here comes the printing. big jump on mfg
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simpletrader
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by simpletrader »

pop up le
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Cobra
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Cobra »

OK, breakout as I said, don't fight the strength. This is way strong, nothing can stop it.
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soku
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Re: 07/01/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

quick notes on data
today's data is way stronger than yesterday. it is suggesting a strong growth with lower price, ie this is the best moment for economy (one of). if the data are for real, i am expecting to see upward revise of major economy forecasts.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
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