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co ask~~ :cry:Mr. T wrote:PRI wrote:Bearish (flag) and bullish? Could you elaborate please? Thank you!uempel wrote:Update:
2nd that request
Sure the market ain't going to crash, but if the rebounds are weak there is no point in holding long positions...Cobra wrote:well, I'd agree all the bearish calls here, but purely from chart pattern, it's very rare for a car running on 200 mile per hour reverses all of sudden. From my understanding of TA is we should trade on high odds and this basically says that we'd try our best no to think that this time is different. So, maybe the market is about to crash, but until proven wrong, I cannot bet this 200 mile per hour car simply has reversed on just one day sharp pullback.
yeah, but the market has to show me the evidence first. We snake simply follow, market is the master...uempel wrote:Sure the market ain't going to crash, but if the rebounds are weak there is no point in holding long positions...Cobra wrote:well, I'd agree all the bearish calls here, but purely from chart pattern, it's very rare for a car running on 200 mile per hour reverses all of sudden. From my understanding of TA is we should trade on high odds and this basically says that we'd try our best no to think that this time is different. So, maybe the market is about to crash, but until proven wrong, I cannot bet this 200 mile per hour car simply has reversed on just one day sharp pullback.
Ah, I was wondering where you were going with that... I love your charts. Thanks for the reply.uempel wrote:PRI and Mr. T: Sorry, I was being sarcastic. When price creeps up a slanting trendline it nearly always falls through at some point - that's really bearish. If price bounces on a trendline it's more bullish. The chart I showed with the creepy action and the bearish flag is very bearish (short term).
Aside from the wonderful analogy, your respect of TA/charts is something to admire and learn, at least for someone like me who has often wrecked own train on the tracks of "self-convictions" and FA and a messed-up operation time tableCobra wrote:well, I'd agree all the bearish calls here, but purely from chart pattern, it's very rare for a car running on 200 mile per hour reverses all of sudden. From my understanding of TA is we should trade on high odds and this basically says that we'd try our best no to think that this time is different. So, maybe the market is about to crash, but until proven wrong, I cannot bet this 200 mile per hour car simply has reversed on just one day sharp pullback.
We are on a slow creep up so far..I think and agree with you the close will be 1340+rhight wrote:Call me a conspiracy theorist, I don't care, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a pop up into the close, just so the weekly candle on the SPX just doesn't look like a bearish red doji. Close above 1340 anyone? Low volume today may favor the bulls.
What is that 134.1 ish?Cobra wrote:I believe I made the 3rd call right, now the 4th call. as long as bulls cannot pass the current tinted area, the next pullback should be larger than another tinted area.
Thanks, here an illustration:PRI wrote:Ah, I was wondering where you were going with that... I love your charts. Thanks for the reply.uempel wrote:PRI and Mr. T: Sorry, I was being sarcastic. When price creeps up a slanting trendline it nearly always falls through at some point - that's really bearish. If price bounces on a trendline it's more bullish. The chart I showed with the creepy action and the bearish flag is very bearish (short term).
" So I would think markets could go down hard with a break of 1 year downtrend USD[/quote] "Sqwii wrote:Agree Cobra - but we have seen it before , most people right now very bullish just in 8 trading days.....more bulls than bears right now. Markets does the unexpected always - and price action intraday seems /bearish to me - seems like we need a bid there like we have seen before. I have a fib target date for a bottom on Friday next week - so a possible move down into Friday or so next week would be good. I dont know how low we go - but USD looks strong and about to go up in a big way looks like. So I would think markets could go down hard with a break of 1 year downtrend USD
no idea.oldpigwang wrote:Cobra: Do you think we should close the longs due to rebound weak?
wow, thanks for sharinguempel wrote:Thanks, here an illustration:PRI wrote:Ah, I was wondering where you were going with that... I love your charts. Thanks for the reply.uempel wrote:PRI and Mr. T: Sorry, I was being sarcastic. When price creeps up a slanting trendline it nearly always falls through at some point - that's really bearish. If price bounces on a trendline it's more bullish. The chart I showed with the creepy action and the bearish flag is very bearish (short term).
Fed could announce some kind of liquidity glut Monday before the opening... Not sure if that's a conspiracy, but it sure would drown the bears.rhight wrote:Call me a conspiracy theorist, I don't care, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a pop up into the close, just so the weekly candle on the SPX just doesn't look like a bearish red doji. Close above 1340 anyone? Low volume today may favor the bulls.