fehro wrote:careful here.. VIX and bonds hot .VIX at 200d SMA >20d/50d - VIX expiration tomorrow, OEW this week
vix gapped the 50 and now want 200ma break? indices pullback due and could be good one, im swingin again short 2 week time frame, if shutdown chatter is bullish, fool me infinity.....
well well blind squirrel, vix ripe over the 200....when vix breaks up over 200 1st time, there is continuation up very majority of time..finally a bear chance
My charts are all on futures so I have levels for yesterday and I doubt stock charts is showing those. Yesterday's close was ES 2794.50 and yesterday's high was ES. 2797.50. The close was in play 15 minutes ago (within 2 ticks) but the high is being ignored.
It has been 30 minutes since the earlier low, we are within the last 30 minutes of European trading and are once again testing yesterday's low. This would be a really good time for the bulls to show us something like a classic double bottom and a grind up to new highs this afternoon.
Trades with cats wrote:It has been 30 minutes since the earlier low, we are within the last 30 minutes of European trading and are once again testing yesterday's low. This would be a really good time for the bulls to show us something like a classic double bottom and a grind up to new highs this afternoon.
should be a rebound here first let's see if it's a double bottom.
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If it goes to pot I have this new tool. Northman trading commented RSI on the 15 minute below 30 triggered buying just about every time (Fed Intervention). Somebody coded up Larry Williams Vix Fix synthetic vix from around 2003, and sure enough when things get ugly it goes above 3. When it drops back down to a flat line it has been a better buy signal than the RSI (fewer false signals). Although since September this system has not done as well as buy and hold.
That bottom indicator on the 15 minute is Fat Tails relative volume. It looks at same interval for the last 8 weeks. I have it set for all days, you can also set for day of the week. Anyway we have a gap go and reverse day with 176% of normal volume. There will be lots to write about tonight!
House of Morgan outlook up at Zero Hedge. They say market is pricing in a 12% chance of Government shut down on Friday. But according to their table if the shutdown happens it is usually good for a few percent pull back in the market so they say buy puts, they haven't been this cheap since 2010.
te_fern wrote:Big Board Tick has crossed back below its MA line...
getting interesting, will see what the afternoon brings...has the feel of a decent breakdown, but have forgotten fully what that feels like.... locked short
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