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03/13/2018 Live Update

Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby brokebybernacke2 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:07 pm

looks ok so far, maybe back test of 50 ma at worse, which will be a bit higher by then..
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:40 pm

Tillerson is supposed to speak to the press 2:00 ET at State Dept
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:46 pm

SMALLS, SWING
Based on momentum
1) Pink pullback, boom down
2) Pink pullback, recovered up
3) Pink pullback, boom down [?]

Recency bias favors more down, which will be confirmed when smalls make a lower low
Alternatively, if up, we must see momo and price IMPROVE (price must break convincingly above the little-dash-red downtrend line) before taking on more longs
15min
313fifteen.png.png
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Cobra » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:12 pm

2nd leg down as expected. the tinted area is just to show where 100% mm is as now too early to say whether the 2nd leg down would make a new low.
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:12 pm

Tillerson now
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:46 pm

SPX *50d 2745 *20d 2728 buckle up
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Cobra » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:54 pm

now fib 61.8% mm possible.
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:01 pm

HAPPY HOUR
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby brokebybernacke2 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:03 pm

fehro wrote:SPX *50d 2745 *20d 2728 buckle up


50d should happen, then we have a nice IHS on the 15 min for bulls to ponder
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:04 pm

German DAX 12000 dangerous level.. is very close.. it goes.. look out below indexes.. tomorrow
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:11 pm

brokebybernacke2 wrote:
fehro wrote:SPX *50d 2745 *20d 2728 buckle up


50d should happen, then we have a nice IHS on the 15 min for bulls to ponder


or we just gap under *50d SMA tomorrow… and leave and island top…. watch Germany 12000 -11900 DAX key
Last edited by fehro on Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Trades with cats » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:16 pm

Island top would be a real written across the sky in fire sort of a deal!
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Trades with cats » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:21 pm

ES 06-18 (15 Minute) 2018_03_13.png
15 minute Month to date 10 day relative volatility and volume

Volume now at 102% while volatility only at 82%. This could get exciting for the guys at the big firms negotiating triple witch.
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby brokebybernacke2 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:27 pm

fehro wrote:
brokebybernacke2 wrote:
fehro wrote:SPX *50d 2745 *20d 2728 buckle up


50d should happen, then we have a nice IHS on the 15 min for bulls to ponder


or we just gap under 20d SMA tomorrow… and leave and island top…. watch Germany 12000 -11900 DAX key


DAS DAX!

Da liegt der Hund begraben!
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:28 pm

SPY lod so far was a dime above the 61.8% fib on the basic Cobra 5min Stockchart--close enuf to count in my book, since LOD figures often revise later by about that much. Watch out for dip-buyers.

There is no evidence to support bearishness in a longer timeframe, not yet. And this week as Al Dente noted is historically a positive week by a significant factor. There have been so many ATHs hereabouts these past couple days, it is making me sneeze. One cannot be bearish.

There's still too much liquidity chasing too few cash-on-the-barrel real yields (imo). Until that eases, and even reverses, managers of $multibillion funds will have to come to the Watering Hole of stocks, howsoever dangerous that becomes, to drink muddy yields w low Sharpe-ratios.

:|
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:33 pm

brokebybernacke2 wrote:DAS DAX!

Da liegt der Hund begraben!


:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:35 pm

smalls intraday POTENTIAL double bottom
smalls love double bottoms, but it's too late in the day now
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Trades with cats » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:38 pm

If a person was planning on being a dip buyer this is looking like the time and the price unless the retail ETFs dump a bunch of stock in the next 20 minutes.
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:40 pm

Al_Dente wrote:smalls intraday POTENTIAL double bottom
smalls love double bottoms, but it's too late in the day now

VOID
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Re: 03/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:44 pm

1) do we need to worry about the PA elections tonight?
2) what kind of reversal day is this?
(recall what cobra says about engulfing days)
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