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04/17/2018 Live Update

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Al_Dente
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Al_Dente wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:NY advancing stocks = 3.0 x declining stocks
NY advancing volume = 3.2 x declining volume
NY advancing stocks = 3.0 x declining stocks
NY advancing volume = 4.0 x declining volume
NY advancing stocks = 2.4 x declining stocks
NY advancing volume = 3.7 x declining volume
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Trades with cats
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Trades with cats »

Last time we came down to ES 2704 and hit the empty part of the chart it whooshed to 2702 and bounced in two legs to a new daily high. Waiting for the re-run, thinking it won't end the same.
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Junior Buffett
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

fehro wrote:not sure .. sloppy little H&S SPX , SPY 5m intra day… target is yHOD or/and open price gap ..VIX is weak… dribble lower
VIX is so weak that I am afraid that we will repeat 2016 type bull..BEARS will keep talking about resistance and mad BULLS will keep taking them out and go higher...not a good sign for BEARS at all...
Trades with cats
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Trades with cats »

I added Seth Goldman, the former Target logistics manager, to my twitter feed. He is still shorting the VIX with both hands. I think all the speculation really undermines it's accuracy as a prediction tool.
fehro
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by fehro »

Junior Buffett wrote:
fehro wrote:not sure .. sloppy little H&S SPX , SPY 5m intra day… target is yHOD or/and open price gap ..VIX is weak… dribble lower
VIX is so weak that I am afraid that we will repeat 2016 type bull..BEARS will keep talking about resistance and mad BULLS will keep taking them out and go higher...not a good sign for BEARS at all...
keep in mind its' VIX expiration tomorrow.. so .. squeeze those options. may see VIX up Big tomorrow with a gap
ccash04
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by ccash04 »

Junior Buffett wrote:
fehro wrote:not sure .. sloppy little H&S SPX , SPY 5m intra day… target is yHOD or/and open price gap ..VIX is weak… dribble lower
VIX is so weak that I am afraid that we will repeat 2016 type bull..BEARS will keep talking about resistance and mad BULLS will keep taking them out and go higher...not a good sign for BEARS at all...
Market conditions not quite the same as 2016 as the Fed still had pedal down on liquidity vs. a moderating policy.

At the margins, it makes a difference and should add more volatility with less liquidity. Does not mean volatility down just up and down less so the bulls ripping 10 days straight of gains
K447
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by K447 »

ccash04 wrote: Market conditions not quite the same as 2016 as the Fed still had pedal down on liquidity vs. a moderating policy.

At the margins, it makes a difference and should add more volatility with less liquidity. Does not mean volatility down just up and down less so the bulls ripping 10 days straight of gains
Are you speaking of the 2016 past or the 2018 present?

April 6 was not an up day
Last edited by K447 on Tue Apr 17, 2018 2:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
fehro
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by fehro »

Trades with cats wrote:I added Seth Goldman, the former Target logistics manager, to my twitter feed. He is still shorting the VIX with both hands. I think all the speculation really undermines it's accuracy as a prediction tool.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04- ... een-longer
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Junior Buffett
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

Trades with cats wrote:I added Seth Goldman, the former Target logistics manager, to my twitter feed. He is still shorting the VIX with both hands. I think all the speculation really undermines it's accuracy as a prediction tool.
If he is still shorting VIX at 15 then that is something really brave..I can see someone shorting VIX in 20's
ccash04
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by ccash04 »

K447 wrote:
ccash04 wrote: Market conditions not quite the same as 2016 as the Fed still had pedal down on liquidity vs. a moderating policy.

At the margins, it makes a difference and should add more volatility with less liquidity. Does not mean volatility down just up and down less so the bulls ripping 10 days straight of gains
Are you speaking of the 2016 past or the 2018 present?

April 6 was not an up day

2016 where it seemed like we went up up up and away everyday
QED
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by QED »

Is anyone worried that the $VIX is pushing through the bottom of its daily Bollinger Bands?
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Junior Buffett
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

QED wrote:Is anyone worried that the $VIX is pushing through the bottom of its daily Bollinger Bands?
Maybe it's time for UXXY to go out of business like XIV?? :D

But yes it is looking really scary for VIX as it's falling without any stops...even last Friday market was solid Red, VIX dropped 5%!

Anyone here thinks that UVXY can go XIV route??
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Al_Dente
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

HAPPY HOUR
Image
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Trades with cats
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Trades with cats »

So has anyone done a correlation to with VIX to Presidential Tweet storms? Seriously, when the trade war and chemical weapons chest thumping was going on the VIX should have been going crazy. Now we are in relatively calm conditions so shouldn't it drop back down?
K447
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by K447 »

Trades with cats wrote:So has anyone done a correlation to with VIX to Presidential Tweet storms? Seriously, when the trade war and chemical weapons chest thumping was going on the VIX should have been going crazy. Now we are in relatively calm conditions so shouldn't it drop back down?
Perhaps it would be interesting to chart the half life effect of a T tweet since, well, he began tweeting ...

How long does the Tweet effect last, how big of a move does it cause?

I suspect the market effect is dwindling.
fehro
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by fehro »

ding ding 20w SMA tag
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Junior Buffett
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

Market is in full blown buy mode...just put on 5th gear...game on
fehro
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by fehro »

a total reversal coming? break these lines.. yeah.. nuts right :roll:
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Cobra
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


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Cobra
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Re: 04/17/2018 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

well, guess that's it for today. Wednesday tomorrow has been bear friendly recently. thank you guys, I'll see you in another thread.

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