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Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:30 pm
by qtipped
mac769 wrote:
Cobra wrote:this kind of consolidation means another push up is more likely.
I think the last 30 min could get ugly for the bears

you need to have nerve like steel to stay short there...
i need to cut off my balls and all my nerves... this is horrible...lost all of my gains from the week. prob more punishment tomorrow.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:32 pm
by Cobra
firstly, wow. :o

secondly, still think this is an exhaustion. :twisted:

thirdly, I should really follow what I swore: give up calling for pullback. :(

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:32 pm
by Alpha_M
Cobra wrote:
Alpha_M wrote:Cobra,

Great work as always! Based on last night's report you estimated a topside of 1200 on this current rally? (evidenced by a dotted blue arrow) - Does that still hold true? I hope we are not going to the galaxy??? :roll: :roll:

Your response would be apprecaited.
just posted, no change in forecast, everything goes as planned.

Thanks for the lightening response!!!

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:32 pm
by rola
qtipped wrote:
rola wrote:The fact is that this news today with Greece is pure manipulation, of course they will say that Greece will stay in Eurozone, what else could they say. The fact is that Greece is allready bankrupt, Europe gave them 150 billions and it is not enough, the fact that sooner or later something will have to be solved, and the market will not accept that very nice
so how does that explain the market going up madly!!
Ask Cobra :D :)

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:34 pm
by tonghu
neither today nor tomorrow is good for shorting!!!

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:36 pm
by qtipped
rola wrote:
qtipped wrote:
rola wrote:The fact is that this news today with Greece is pure manipulation, of course they will say that Greece will stay in Eurozone, what else could they say. The fact is that Greece is allready bankrupt, Europe gave them 150 billions and it is not enough, the fact that sooner or later something will have to be solved, and the market will not accept that very nice
so how does that explain the market going up madly!!
Ask Cobra :D :)
i deserve it for not stopping out...

i see it clearly now..the last few days manipulation, rumors are geared toward moving the market up...they manipulate down so they can buy...and up to squeeze out the shorts...the master plan is working as planned for them. i'll bet if i cover or go long, they will have another plan to screw me.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:36 pm
by qtipped
tonghu wrote:neither today nor tomorrow is good for shorting!!!
would you cover?

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:36 pm
by tapesense
SPX 1200 reached. Objective remains SPY 129s on long time horizon. With theta decay I'll break even :)

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:37 pm
by newbie_77
40 points up today .... wow !!!!

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:38 pm
by terranmn
Hi Cobra,

What's the upper indicator in this 15min chart?

Cobra wrote:ok, should be an exhaustion bar here. I didn't say anything about p u l l b a c k so doesn't count as breaking my promise. :mrgreen:

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:39 pm
by Cobra
terranmn wrote:Hi Cobra,

What's the upper indicator in this 15min chart?

Cobra wrote:ok, should be an exhaustion bar here. I didn't say anything about p u l l b a c k so doesn't count as breaking my promise. :mrgreen:
%B

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:40 pm
by greenback
Cobra wrote:
STC wrote:
Cobra wrote:
HappyFriday wrote:
Cobra wrote:breakout indeed. should be more on the upside, there's no limit... :mrgreen:
There must have a limit.
Cobra should say the sky is the limit. :lol: :D
Sky is the limit then there's still a limit.
Cobra, Does this change your outlook on the big picture? Just a little bit ago a read that this push up is weak and you still think the 8/9 low will be revisited, now the market is going up with no limit? very confusing
no change, still pretty much what I planed. even eventually C = B, it already takes longer than B times, so still weak.
Cobra, shouldn't we put the beginning of the up leg at b'? If so, we haven't run out of time in the up swing.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:42 pm
by tonghu
qtipped wrote:
tonghu wrote:neither today nor tomorrow is good for shorting!!!
would you cover?
i only have small amount of Oct bear spread, and i will add more later

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:42 pm
by agnosia
ok i sold half my position at 1195... wow, wish i would have admitted i was wrong earlier, could have caught more of this move. one of the traders biggest enemy - his EGO !

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:42 pm
by rupert
Wouldn't be surprised to see them tank it down to 1192 to flush out the longs and trap in new shorts...Then in the last 10-15 minutes park it at the session high.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:43 pm
by bushwaffle
qtipped wrote:
mac769 wrote:
Cobra wrote:this kind of consolidation means another push up is more likely.
I think the last 30 min could get ugly for the bears

you need to have nerve like steel to stay short there...
i need to cut off my balls and all my nerves... this is horrible...lost all of my gains from the week. prob more punishment tomorrow.
We're in the same boat, except my daddy always taught me "Son, if you're gonna be stupid, you gotta be tough!"

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:43 pm
by Cobra
a little pullback at resistance. I think better we have a consolidation here.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:45 pm
by qtipped
bushwaffle wrote:
qtipped wrote:
mac769 wrote:
Cobra wrote:this kind of consolidation means another push up is more likely.
I think the last 30 min could get ugly for the bears

you need to have nerve like steel to stay short there...
i need to cut off my balls and all my nerves... this is horrible...lost all of my gains from the week. prob more punishment tomorrow.
We're in the same boat, except my daddy always taught me "Son, if you're gonna be stupid, you gotta be tough!"
thanks for the inspirational quote....i will try to be stupid SOB and hold for more bushwacking tomorrow....

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:46 pm
by Cobra
greenback wrote: Cobra, shouldn't we put the beginning of the up leg at b'? If so, we haven't run out of time in the up swing.
yes, bulls still have one day.

Re: 09/14/2011 Intraday Watering

Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 3:47 pm
by HappyFriday
Cobra wrote:a little pullback at resistance. I think better we have a consolidation here.
Cobra is right.
We have not seen the high for today yet JMO.
More bloody path for BEARs in last 10 mins. :lol: :D