Cobra's Market View

by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:10 am

Gap down below Friday's range, so there're chances that the gap won't be filled. Clearly every overnight dip was bought aggressively last week and before the next day open, the ES already recovered all the night's losses. This time, however, is a little different, the aggressive dip buyers didn't recover all the losses. So let's see regular hour session, as also every morning dip was bought aggressively almost everyday last week, the question is: will this time be different? I'm not sure but my guess is yes, because the Friday's morning dip buyer failed to bring SPY to new intraday high unlike all the past 4 days.

By the way, thanks again for the testimonials. I really really appreciate!

by **99er** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:18 am

Good Morning.

Honey...feeling down because it's Monday?
EURUSD http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/09/eurusd_19.html

Just trying to get it up.

by **AK84** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:18 am

Morning cobra!

Hoops you had a nice weekend! Looking fwd to the new layout of the site

Btw....in e wknd report u said u will buy this dip. Does that still hold true??

Thanks !

by **cougar** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:19 am

Good morning, Cobra! Thank you for suggesting that we visit “investimonials”. It is an interesting site, where one can view lots of opinions, and I was happy to post a few words showing my appreciation for your work.

by **99er** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:20 am

Oh shucks honey...
ES http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/09/es_19.html

Let's go surfing today!

by **99er** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:22 am

So big waves today?
AUDJPY http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/09/audjpy_19.html

No. It's over.

by **uempel** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:23 am

Friday I had clear indications that SPX was going to stay above 1208 on Monday and then move higher - the break above important MAs (not visible on the charts) and the break back into the big dotted black channel you see on the two charts - the second chart is a close-up. So I closed my shorts Friday and wanted to wait for a higher high. And now Monday morning the futures are pointing down and the market might tank... Was Friday a real bull-trap for fools like me :roll:

by **agnosia** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:24 am

good morning guys. crude has just now broken out of it's rising daily "whatever you want to call it ".. i will enter swing short on retest of the pattern. (~86.5-.60)

by **cougar** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:25 am

$VIX and SPIXU display now recently completed amd similar (but not identical) bullish harmonic figures.
During the Weekend Watering discussions I noticed also that…“the time periods spent by VIX under the inside envelope (blue) are rare, short and precede a violent upside move… On this chart they are labeled in blue: 1, 2...”

by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:28 am

AK84 wrote:Morning cobra!

Hoops you had a nice weekend! Looking fwd to the new layout of the site

Btw....in e wknd report u said u will buy this dip. Does that still hold true??

Thanks !

Most likely I'll, it's a very short-term play, not suitable for inexperienced, that's all I can say.

by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:29 am

cougar wrote:Good morning, Cobra! Thank you for suggesting that we visit “investimonials”. It is an interesting site, where one can view lots of opinions, and I was happy to post a few words showing my appreciation for your work.

Thanks.

by **Al_Dente** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:29 am

Cobra wrote:Gap down below Friday's range, so there're chances that the gap won't be filled. Clearly every overnight dip was bought aggressively last week and before the next day open, the ES already recovered all the night's losses. This time, however, is a little different, the aggressive dip buyers didn't recover all the losses. So let's see regular hour session, as also every morning dip was bought aggressively almost everyday last week, the question is: will this time be different? I'm not sure but my guess is yes, because the Friday's morning dip buyer failed to bring SPY to new intraday high unlike all the past 4 days.

By the way, thanks again for the testimonials. I really really appreciate!

1.png

2.png

Cobra
I couldn't get Testimonial to work
maybe others here gave up early
when you have free time - NO RUSH - please tell how to get it right
thanks

by **cougar** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:30 am

A simplified SPX 60 minutes, on which I kept only 2 MA-s (explained on chart) and added a Fan that seems to work well:

by **KENA** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:30 am

99er..Thanks for the chart on the VIX..It is hard to make out a H&S taking shape.

by **BullTart** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:31 am

As painful as it was, I spent all of last week adding TVIX (long VIX) positions through the rise of the market.

This was done in the anticipation of the 10/80 weekly SMA crossover.

We now have a confirmed cross over on the ES.

I am fully deployed long TVIX as of last Friday.

Now that we have the cross over, I will get the popcorn and watch what Mr. Market will show us, as it has every of 10/80 weekly SMA crossovers in the past 15 years.

by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:31 am

the open. should recover a little bit at least as it's too stretched.

by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:34 am

Al_Dente wrote:
Cobra wrote:Gap down below Friday's range, so there're chances that the gap won't be filled. Clearly every overnight dip was bought aggressively last week and before the next day open, the ES already recovered all the night's losses. This time, however, is a little different, the aggressive dip buyers didn't recover all the losses. So let's see regular hour session, as also every morning dip was bought aggressively almost everyday last week, the question is: will this time be different? I'm not sure but my guess is yes, because the Friday's morning dip buyer failed to bring SPY to new intraday high unlike all the past 4 days.

By the way, thanks again for the testimonials. I really really appreciate!

1.png

2.png

Cobra
I couldn't get Testimonial to work
maybe others here gave up early
when you have free time - NO RUSH - please tell how to get it right
thanks

I don't know how to get it right, it's OK you tried, as it's already enough for me, thanks, really! :lol:

by **99er** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:35 am

Now honey...
SPX http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2011/09/spx_19.html

Happy?

by **agnosia** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:35 am

Al_Dente wrote:

Cobra
I couldn't get Testimonial to work
maybe others here gave up early
when you have free time - NO RUSH - please tell how to get it right
thanks

i had a slight problem as well - it looked like the registration did not work but then i was able to log in with the user/pass i created. also, take off no-script or ad-block if you are using these firefox addons

by **KENA** » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:36 am

I tried to leave a message on Cobra this weekend but I could not register.I tried about 4-5 times but the site would not accept it.Any one know how to make it work.Thanks

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