Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

11/15/2018 Live Update

Daniel
Posts: 3482
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 4:27 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Daniel »

brokebybernacke2 wrote:
Daniel wrote:XLF 26.50 was recently posted on this board as a "line in the sand" figure. XLF is currently still below that....
you bet. far as i'm concerned, no bear on till that is taken back with conviction.
:?:
..did you mean no 'BULL' on, until that's taken back w conviction..?
Daniel
Posts: 3482
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 4:27 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Daniel »

XRT down 2%, despite today's release of some strong retail sales numbers and projections of a decent holiday shopping season.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

daytradingES wrote:Thanks Al.

A few days back you mentioned funds needing to sell (around the 15th?) -risk neutral funds?
What 's your radar say on fund selling today and tomorrow?
Yes, my 11/13 post was:
REMINDER: the imminent Hedge Fund “redemption notices” date, which we posted about before, is Nov 15
• Another unwind of popular hedge fund positions has to do with the de-betaing of portfolios in a hurry … unwinding “long high beta, short low beta” bets


So, today is the deadline for getting your redemption requests in
I’m GUESSING that some/many clients think they could do better with a dart board
Won’t know anything for sure until zh decides to post something revealing
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

today is important enough for me to track all of the internals as possible.
$TICK is up
$TRIN is well below zero

Bullish so far.
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
brokebybernacke2
Posts: 1955
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2011 10:10 am

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by brokebybernacke2 »

Daniel wrote:
brokebybernacke2 wrote:
Daniel wrote:XLF 26.50 was recently posted on this board as a "line in the sand" figure. XLF is currently still below that....
you bet. far as i'm concerned, no bear on till that is taken back with conviction.
:?:
..did you mean no 'BULL' on, until that's taken back w conviction..?
i did, apologies. need coffee. and watch daily PPO , we get a down cross on that, mas oso.

ot - not much panic out there really, much buy the dip and end of year rally start talk, when/if is monster down day to set up a bounce?..
brokebybernacke2
Posts: 1955
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2011 10:10 am

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by brokebybernacke2 »

brokebybernacke2 wrote:
Daniel wrote:
brokebybernacke2 wrote:
Daniel wrote:XLF 26.50 was recently posted on this board as a "line in the sand" figure. XLF is currently still below that....
you bet. far as i'm concerned, no bear on till that is taken back with conviction.
:?:
..did you mean no 'BULL' on, until that's taken back w conviction..?
i did, apologies. need coffee. and watch daily PPO , we get a down cross on that, mas oso.

ot - not much panic out there really, much buy the dip and end of year rally start talk, when/if is monster down day to set up a bounce?..
watching for more...
Attachments
sc.png
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

chart pattern intraday
Attachments
1.PNG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
Daniel
Posts: 3482
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 4:27 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Daniel »

HYG down -1/2% to a fresh 20day low--Donchian sell signal!
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

SEMIS
"I actually think it's the biggest tell"
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/15/this-gr ... -says.html
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
daytradingES
Posts: 2245
Joined: Thu Sep 13, 2012 10:46 am

Eating crow

Post by daytradingES »

so we are now below the breakdown level of 2675.25 with 2671.25

This means no long trades and sell any bounces.

Though my dir of -1 seems like it was correct
the estimates are wrong and too high.
It seems unlikely to have a "V" day so the current HOD of 2698 could be it.

That statement seems incredible given how low today's start was and the prior 10 years of "buy the dip" - however I guess I should have reminded myself about what I said yesterday:
daytradingES wrote:a close near these levels would be "3 black crows" (in a way) and make the funds quite nervous - especially if they and their fund friends near to sell (parity and redemptions
Postby daytradingES » Wed Nov 14, 2018 1:19 pm

My mess-up today, is the problem with getting to "cutsy".(looking for the bounce and then reverse - as I posted earlier) -

I should have just focus on -- the bigger picture.

"3 black crow sitting in a row,
where the market
down it go."
Last edited by daytradingES on Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
Educational only and not trading advice (EO&NTA) :)
Good trading to all
QED
Posts: 992
Joined: Wed Feb 11, 2015 2:04 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by QED »

$PCALL > 1.39 = retrace (up) coming soon! :geek:
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

BullBear52x wrote:chart pattern intraday
looks like declining wedge is breaking out, from here the closed of yesterday should be a good target.

Scalp to the moon.....
Attachments
1.PNG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 58344
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

so far looks like a range day
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

The Russell “Death Cross”(50sma crosses below the 200sma) happened yesterday 11/14/18
Rob Hanna data back to 1988 is for RUSSELL only:
[Spoiler: it is supposed to be a bear-market signal, but stats show 86% bullish !! :o ]
http://quantifiableedges.com/the-histor ... wing-them/
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Feels good to be bullish in a day like today. :mrgreen:
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Heck »

Extreme Fear 7 and All Three Option Sentiment Reading = UP
q2model
Posts: 336
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 10:54 am

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by q2model »

BullBear52x wrote:Feels good to be bullish in a day like today. :mrgreen:
I like the tune of that. Great call earlier
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Gluten-free SMALLS
This week, every dead cat has been an opportunity to sell
Maybe this time is different; we don’t know yet…
5 min, short term, not intraday
1115 five.png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Heck wrote:Extreme Fear 7 and All Three Option Sentiment Reading = UP
I shown $CPC and $CPCE, charts earlier today, if we don't see fear there then we are too bearish and most likely be in a complacency state of bearishness. been there done that :lol:
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/15/2018 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

q2model wrote:
BullBear52x wrote:Feels good to be bullish in a day like today. :mrgreen:
I like the tune of that. Great call earlier
:D
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
Post Reply