Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post Reply
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 58343
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Down 1 week the next week has 60% chances to close up.
Attachments
3.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Heck »

Undervalued ISE Index PUTS Three times Calls = CONTINUE DOWN

Coronaviral Market Upside Down

https://tinyurl.com/qaq4pbz
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 29516
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by BullBear52x »

From "It is what it is department"Key focus Short term Trend reversal confirmed internals and short term price actions confirm up trend is having a problem and about to end. short term intraday trading time frame it is a little over sold, the different this time is Rips will be sold.
Weekly bearish Harami , need one more down week for confirmation. as you can see on this weekly time frame when RSI(5) >95 market is way over bought it is time for correction but at the same time this is when parabolic occur in the market. If shorting I will pay attention to new ATH that this run is not done. but if no new high, the shorts would be glad that they nailed the top. bottom line it is all about R/R, for now R/R is excellent for bears.
1.PNG
Daily bearish reversal bars are all in agreement, sell first ask question later.
3.PNG
Rising wedge is depending on how you draw them, the end result is the same. we are now breaking down. the confluence price level should be in the low 3200 area.
2.PNG
Short term trend is now down with LL, as you can see last two times it didn't give bears much of a run. well same expectation, more down ahead with the open mind that buyers can just show up and take us to new high again. for now all short term indicators are pointing south. two weeks ago we got the sign of topping process, last week we got sign of fear that it will rise, this week all that confirmed. going into next week I will follow $VIX index or its associates closely, there will be a big fight at $VIX (16). Trade well, Peace!
4.PNG
5.PNG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

... instead of putting down coronavirus as the cause of death for an unknown number of Wuhan casualties, China's coroners and hospitals merely ascribe death to "viral pneumonia", case closed.
“There are likely to be many times more cases in Wuhan than officially confirmed”.
via WSJ and other sources
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/how ... to+zero%29
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Price up, yield down
The dividend yield on SPX is a bit too low. It is now 1.76% yield, and that's in the zone where SPX tops are found.
Weekly
125spx yield.png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Trades with cats
Posts: 8656
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2014 4:40 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Trades with cats »

Corona possible.png
From twitter. Geometric progression. Waiting for World Health Organization to adjust the R0 factor. Currently assumed at 1.5 to 2.5 which is higher than regular flue. The kicker is the 5 days you are spreading infection with zero symptoms. Significant chance this is the new Spanish Influenza. World's governments are saying don't panic instead of giving honest advice. Home Depot is sold out of the right particle masks already as are most Amazon vendors. I would bet there will be a run at the paint stores first thing tomorrow.
Trades with cats
Posts: 8656
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2014 4:40 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Trades with cats »

ES 03-20 (240 Minute) 2020_01_26 (11_30_18 AM).png
Coolbizones weekend count. I transferred it to an ES chart. Will post updates as it goes forward, but not daily as this is a 4 hour bar chart.
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Heck »

ABBV Target + 76 %
From 82.76 to 146.02
+ 5.65 % Dividend
Debt To Equity 1,049.45%
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by Heck »

Al_Dente wrote:... instead of putting down coronavirus as the cause of death for an unknown number of Wuhan casualties, China's coroners and hospitals merely ascribe death to "viral pneumonia", case closed.
“There are likely to be many times more cases in Wuhan than officially confirmed”.
via WSJ and other sources
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/how ... to+zero%29
65 M fatalities in 18 months scenario on 18 Oct 2019

https://tinyurl.com/w362u32
QED
Posts: 992
Joined: Wed Feb 11, 2015 2:04 pm

Re: 01/25/2020 Weekend Update

Post by QED »

.
VXG20-VXH20 hits backwardation!
.
Post Reply