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I see 3 push down (red arrows) then some chances 2 higher low (purple arrows) therefore, say, 51% chances the low was in. At least today likely would be up because of the Patriotic Rally.
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The 3rd test of the line so breakout is a little bit more likely now.
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Trying the breakout again, this time breakout would be more likely and for real.
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Bullish options traders (1/VIX) are above the pink line (approximately 5dma), frontrunning what they think will be a bigger bounce.
Indices not as strong yet
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
The breakout here could mean it's an uptrend day but since it'd be mostly within the yesterday's range so I'll treat it as a range day, i.e. buy dip only, no chase high or buying breakout.
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