A look at QQQ
$NAMO has a different “benchmark” than $NYMO.
While $NYMO can top out near 80-ish, $NAMO often tops out at about 65-ish. Both were nearing their top zones, and usually when they reach their tops they pullback below 80/65 respectively, which triggers the sell signal.
Yesterday they both pulled back (NAMO backed off to 31, NYMO - not on this chart - backed off to 26)
before first reaching their expected tops, but hey, we seldom get absolutely “perfect” signals (note how NYMO did the same early pullback at the mid-September high, see pink circles).
The top may be in, or we could get a bouncing top like the one seen here during 17 Oct thru 27 Oct (few days dip, few days rally, few days dip again, drive u nuts until a “final” top).
I’m not being cagey here, I’m just saying that unfortunately, tops aren’t always as clean and pretty as we’d like them to be.
Also, QQQ volatility is now near top-ish territory, it could go further. The “sell” signal is usually triggered when it starts back down/up (IMHO).
NOTE: the dark green line is volatility
INVERTED ($ONE:$VXN) for ease of viewing only.
Also, you have all seen the daily reversal candlesticks.
And my softie CCI indicator can and often does zigzag around its overbought zone.
All the top/near top and overbought signs are hard to ignore…so just wear protection…you know…
Yes, the selloff yesterday was quite NASTY, but so were a couple of recent selloffs that the short-covering-bears and dip-buyers cured within a day or so.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=QQQ&p= ... =250153688
PS: Real estate won’t allow me to cram the Bullish Percents into that QQQ chart. But as you know, BP is not yet overbought on the nasdaq.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LCRZZC-D ... re=related