The Global ES had a little head fake then fell back into consolidation area, so neutral here, not bad as long as doesn't fall below the area.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
"They could hire 3,000 people overnight. What U.S. plant can find 3,000 people overnight and convince them to live in dorms?"
[Jennifer Rigoni, Apple's worldwide supply demand manager until 2010, on the advantages of using foreign plants] http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/busin ... s&emc=tha3
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
hadn't have time to post in the weekend. if you are not familiar with this newsletter, than you shuold, it has nice insights intermediate to long term: http://www.hmsupdate.hertlermarketsignal.com/
it shows the bifurcation of the market where we have both longterm buy signals and longterm dangerously overbought signals to longterm sell signals still in place (mainly credit). my best guess in another try at the 1340-1370 range before topping out for a long time. market fundamentals are weak with very low earnings beat rate, profit margin topping and very low global economic growth. in my oppinion the market is running way ahead of himself now. in the past 3 years this has always ended in very sharp downside corrections.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
I was aging “grachu” but my BOT sent me to the wrong link…
Before the release of Earnings Report, many stock owners have to answer the questions raised by you yesterday, in connection with AAPL. Before answering ”what does that mean ” long term, you don’t want to lose money short term, by being a sitting duck…
I shall exemplify this, in connection with an interesting hedging problem:
As I posted during last week, I bought CRR stock and sold (to open) CRR calls to hedge.
But CRR is reporting earnings on Thursday, Jan 26, before the opening of the market…and look what happens sometimes subsequent to ER…even of they beat expectations!
On the other hand, the BUY signal was clean by several criteria, including those used in the RENKO that I showed last week…Technicals look too good for a bailout…
The logical thing to do, if I want to stay in the trade is to buy, in addition, out of the money Feb puts. The strike is to be decided in the meantime…If I do that, I would construct a “collar” - a very common tool used by top executives who own large positions in their company stocks, but do not want to sell them, because of PR and taxation reasons… Also, insiders acquiring collars do not have to report such operations to the SEC. Handy, no?
Curious that SPY reached Friday’s high on only ~1700 stocks advancing (and 1700 nyadv was HOD at the EOD ramp). Maybe it’s that AD design (it shows breadth not depth).
I scanned NYSE stocks greater than +9% Friday and found a motley assortment of top gainers:
TLB takeover offer
CPY fraud case
FCH reit USLV silver 3x
TRU takeover
NOAH China, wealth mgmt NBG.A National Bank of Greece +11%
DL China, education AGQ silver 2x
IPHI semis
KV/A pharma
CEP oil + gas
LEE penny stock, chapter 11
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
biggest bar on volume surge, so could be a pullback here.
Attachments
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.