by Al_Dente » Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:56 pm
GS chief economist Jan Hatzius thinks that with control of the House, Senate, and White House, Democrats are expected to pass further fiscal stimulus totaling about $750bn. This would include $300bn for additional stimulus payments, $200bn for fiscal aid to state and local governments, $150bn to extend both broader eligibility for unemployment benefits and a top-up at an amount that gradually fades overtime, and $100bn in other spending.
...expects that the bill will pass mid-February to mid-March and that the payments would occur quickly after passage.
... That said, while disposable income will grow impressively in Q1, substantially exceeding the 2020 Q2 CARES Act high, Hatzius expects the impact on consumer spending to be much less front-loaded than usual because of the virus situation...
[caveat: Goldman advice is always grain-of-salt]