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yeah. all this sounds right although keep in mind us banks are exposed to at least 50% of the insurance on euro zone debt and that likely as not they have leveraged this to some extent. so looking at this step you could argue that "they cannot let stuff get hit too hard" (and given the really long period leading up to this there was room to offset the losses). but far more to the point--going forward--it's going to force 3-10 trillion (range) more to go into banks world wide from central banks and or treasuries etc etc. keep in mind that leverage in the euro zone banking is epic and leverage here is less but obviously tied to the actions of the weakest links. people tend to focus on the nominal math--and ignore the layers of leverage. this is what happened at the start with sub-prime. the idea at that time (crammer and others) was that "since it's such a small part of the market--whatever damage will be limited".soku wrote:as i said, i am not bond guy. here is my calculation er, i mean guess. the greece bond haircut is 79% for now. on 3/20 isda is going to tell us the exact number. the cds is not a lot, only 3b. i think it will impact the next bail out. yes, there will be the next one pretty soon. greece lives on that.
Ya but I like it.Cobra wrote:weak rebound, I don't like this, could be small double top here, I'll explain if indeed.
atr 14, i take it?Al_Dente wrote:Ouch, even the stable little 5m renko that I stole, pardon, borrowed from benandlloyd just signaled sell
That hasn’t happened in two whole days
We’ll see how that works out…
Petsamo wrote:The bears haven't busted this thing up yet
Sorry, a little late, but no harm done. I have no clue of how TNA will behave Monday, at least from today's (3/9) price behavior. If price swings > 6% in either direction from previous day close than I have some insight. I plan to post an explanation of how these numbers are arrived at in the weekend forum. It is a little complicated for day forum.BullBear52x wrote:I mean next day input, what was it?Harapa wrote:for TNA IWM is a better guide.BullBear52x wrote:What is your current stat on TNA?Harapa wrote:Expecting a rebound ~138.02
for March 9, 2012
IWM Cash Range
H2 81.34
H1 81.02
Open 80.51
L1 80.00
L2 79.68
and it is way over its upper threshold
I only see two things suggesting a bear leg. EWZ (Brazil) is selling off; UNG is very oversold and is rallying.Me XMan wrote:Probably wait for the weekend and see what's shaking out
Petsamo wrote:The bears haven't busted this thing up yet
Al_Dente wrote:OOOOOOOOOOO yeowwwwzaaaaaah2oskier wrote:Thanks for the input. I played with the sizes as you suggested, it does the trick! Thanks for your help!Al_Dente wrote:h2oskier
very nice, I like that chart
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IWM&p= ... =260414804
Nice nice
Now just one more thing
Impt to watch $TRIN totally straight up
Or else TRIN reversed just for easy on the eyeballs viewing $ONE:$TRIN
U want an undiluted view of the volume flowing either INTO ADVANCING STOCKS or INTO DECLINING STOCKS
But that’s just IMHO
B nice to watch it ALL but we just don’t have the real estate, grumble, grumble…
GLTu
pls post updates, as no one else on board posts 1 min IWM
These number are arrived at using yesterday's true range and today's open. I will post an explanation in weekend forum for people to understand how these numbers are computed.Tabby wrote:High of $RUT=821.19, IWM =82.15. very close. This is way different$RUT 813 or IWM 81.3 for H2.From high 833.02 , 38% retracement is 814. Is he using Cam levels?Harapa wrote:for TNA IWM is a better guide.BullBear52x wrote:What is your current stat on TNA?Harapa wrote:Expecting a rebound ~138.02
for March 9, 2012
IWM Cash Range
H2 81.34
H1 81.02
Open 80.51
L1 80.00
L2 79.68
and it is way over its upper threshold
OK, I will start to track it from there, ThnxHarapa wrote:Sorry, a little late, but no harm done. I have no clue of how TNA will behave Monday, at least from today's (3/9) price behavior. If price swings > 6% in either direction from previous day close than I have some insight. I plan to post an explanation of how these numbers are arrived at in the weekend forum. It is a little complicated for day forum.BullBear52x wrote:I mean next day input, what was it?Harapa wrote:for TNA IWM is a better guide.BullBear52x wrote:What is your current stat on TNA?Harapa wrote:Expecting a rebound ~138.02
for March 9, 2012
IWM Cash Range
H2 81.34
H1 81.02
Open 80.51
L1 80.00
L2 79.68
and it is way over its upper threshold