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Thanks and welcome aboard!theRASPYone wrote:Hello all!
I want to give a grateful Thank You to Cobra for all his hard work, and for creating this fantastic board to exchange info with many other talents! His contributions are professional and his process and style are of the utmost in diligence. I too am yet another viewer who as been stocking the board without officially joining that has finally come around to doing so. And upon joining am also another who will commemorate Mr. Cobra. I believe I discovered it through a Market-watch article about VIX? or maybe even Elite trader forums roughly 8 months ago? And to be honest I realized that I'm obsessed with this board and read it whenever I get the chance. I think I'm ADDICTED! Thus resulting in joining. I heart the posts of Cobra and others! Keep up the good work. Though I won't leave messages regularly I will say something or leave charts if it needs to be said. There is many things to share so in time I will. Well, good luck all.
great move posting monthly chart. several ideas i get out of it. (1) had you gone back to 2000 it would be clear the market was actually lower than 10 years ago. if you factor inflation you can argue that if we do get to 1550ish this year stocks would be about 1/3-1/2 cheaper depending on how inflation is calculated. (2) if you add fibs to the last move up we are over the 78% fib. As a rule the market will try the last high if it makes it over 78% (in whatever time frame) it can try just a bit lower or just a bit higher--but again over 78% often try the last high. (3) are we in a bull market? certainly you can say we are in a cycle bull--but secular bull would have to wait for a breakout over the last major high AND a test from the upside down.OverUnder wrote:10 year monthly chart. Market has gone up way longer than this leg before having any meaningful pullback before. "too far too fast" means nothing in a bull market, but some people will never get that, in the process of making everyone else broke.
SPX 1440 would put SPY right at $144.00 (if my math is correct).uempel wrote:Problem is that every comment I read mentions 1440...proteus46 wrote:SPY WEEKLY
High - 156.70
Low - 66.75
Range = 89.95
Target 66.75 + (89.95 * .86) = $ 144.11
From Thomas Bulkowski
http://www.thepatternsite.com/Fibonacci.html
I won't disagree, but I think you left out what is happening in the final analysis.Buckethead wrote:This is a liquidity driven market. Understand this market has nothing to do with techinical analysis, fundamentals, macroecnomics, aapl price, nothing. It is just a function of liquidity and when bernanke says more liquidity coming YOU BUY. forget t/a, economic #'s, fundamentals.
No.Ed02 wrote:Cobra, is today a MAD day? Thx.