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07/19/2012 Live Update

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BlackThought
Posts: 186
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:04 am

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by BlackThought »

SWalsh wrote:
BlackThought wrote:SWalsh~~ the manipulation~~ it's going to be the end of the world.
I realize that as a professional, I should not respond to you. But given that you called my CV a lie (I offered to arrange a bet that you shunned) as well as have been peppering me with your imbecilic lows and insults by PM, I suggest you do what you can be best at:

Sit back, shut-up, and try to learn something. I am more than capable of handing you your head here. So I am only asking you this one time not to read or respond to my postings, or I will make you look like the clown you are who barely knows how to place an order. The rest of the board might already know that you don't know anything at all about the markets or trading. Continue, and it will be made evident.

I hope we are clear on that now, Sparky.

Now, just to put some useful content into this message, your statement made in jest is the brightest thing you have stated. The manipulation is coming from HFTs and most likely had the Fed's hands written all over it. They have removed the public due to Institutional Rape. Maybe you should read the article Fehro posted. Since the exchanges are no only casinos where HFTs and Algos fight it out for rebates, and the exchanges need them do so to profit and remain open, then yes, they do have the power to cause the economy to collapse for if the exchanges do then there is no vehicle liquid enough to raise funds that are needed for a company to run.

See? If you shut-up you might learn something. Be a troll and be treated as one.

BTW, I'll be headed to the beach for two weeks on Saturday. You can illuminate the board with your wisdom while I'm gone. Let'ss see how you do. ;) ;) ;)
like cobra told u before, quit polluting this board with your bullsh*t. talk about trading and give trade ideas, quit whining about the HFTs because you obviously can't do anything about it. trade what you see and quit crying about things that are out of control, very female-like.
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BlackThought
Posts: 186
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:04 am

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by BlackThought »

Bullish Sentiment Falls Off A Cliff

Image

http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thinkbig/2 ... cliff.html
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xfradnex
Posts: 632
Joined: Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:14 pm

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by xfradnex »

Daily Elders. Reds maxed ,Greens high. volume down. Risk off 2 of 5 from 1 of 5 . Expect drop, next day up, then, quite a few down, but must remember the top of the mountain is close (may be unresistable Spy = 140.74); this hill is like 4/27/12 based on my indicators. Why no big pop today at 12 noon when the following was released: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/fina ... ilout.html. Probably leaked early in some way the day before to create the new artifical monthly high. Artifical or not, in terms of TA it is helps the Up case. This worked well because all the Stokes were maxed and starting to roll over in many markets.
Last edited by xfradnex on Thu Jul 19, 2012 10:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Flip that coin.

Legal note:Don't believe anything I say above. You may lose yourA$$..
My chart has Daily Elders (Close, High, and Low), MA-2, CCI, and ATR for each stock; all color coded.
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xfradnex
Posts: 632
Joined: Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:14 pm

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by xfradnex »

Flip that coin.

Legal note:Don't believe anything I say above. You may lose yourA$$..
My chart has Daily Elders (Close, High, and Low), MA-2, CCI, and ATR for each stock; all color coded.
TradingJackal
Posts: 565
Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2012 3:54 pm
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Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by TradingJackal »

MrMiyagi wrote:
snakehead wrote: BTW, anybody buying volatility today?
Sold some TZA puts.
Why sell puts when VIX is so low? sell puts at the bottom (that is if you can find it!)
There are no bulls or bears in the market. Only wolves and sheep.
Twitter @TradingJackal
http://tradingjackal.blogspot.com/
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SWalsh
Posts: 1266
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2011 5:07 am

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by SWalsh »

BlackThought wrote:quit crying about things that are out of control, very female-like.
I do hope TraderGirl, who knows infinitely more about trading than a horses ass like you ever will, smacks you upside the head for that remark.

A woman I know was a Captain with two tours of duty in Iraq and a West Point graduate. She has more brains, and testosterone, than a perennial malcontent like you will ever have. But I know you want just what someone else thinks the market will do FOR FREE and not have to bother with POWER HOUR and the like. They confuse your tiny brain. The HFT stuff, that three people e-mailed me today about, could explode your head so don't try that. It's for real traders, not you.

Now, you are forbidden to read my postings after this one. I don't want any chance that your tiny, thimble filled trading mind could profit from my knowledge.

I'm on vacation for two weeks after tomorrow. Why don't you try your best to post some useful information for others while I'm gone? Think you can find a channel somewhere and operate your software and draw it properly?

Here's a link to identify a channel. Study this first and then try to find one. ;)

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/tr ... z217uzh0nb
"I told you...................bring me everyone"...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MrTsuvykUZk
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xfradnex
Posts: 632
Joined: Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:14 pm

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by xfradnex »

Flip that coin.

Legal note:Don't believe anything I say above. You may lose yourA$$..
My chart has Daily Elders (Close, High, and Low), MA-2, CCI, and ATR for each stock; all color coded.
User avatar
SWalsh
Posts: 1266
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2011 5:07 am

Re: 07/19/2012 Live Update

Post by SWalsh »

BlackThought wrote:Bullish Sentiment Falls Off A Cliff

Image
There are issues in the sentiment beyond the rather simplistic chart you have posted, unless you think there is causality. BTW, that's a statistical term meaning "cause" brings about an "effect". We do have causality right now though. You posted something that in-and-of itself is worthless, and I have decided to clear up any confusion, lest someone trade just off that number ;) (more info on charts)

From AAII:

Bullish sentiment fell to nearly a two-year low in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, plunged 8.0 percentage points to 22.2%. This is the lowest that optimism has been since August 26, 2010. It is also the 68th lowest bullish sentiment reading out of more than 1,300 weekly readings in the survey's history. Optimism has now been below its historical average of 39% for 16 consecutive weeks.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially flat over the next six months, rose 1.0 percentage point to 36.0%. This is an 11-week high for neutral sentiment. It is also the fourth time in five weeks that neutral sentiment is above its historical average of 31%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, rose 7.1 percentage points to 41.8%. This is the 11th consecutive week and the 14th out of the last 15 weeks that bearish sentiment has been above its historical average of 30%.

The last time bullish sentiment was lower, August 26, 2010, the market reached a short-term bottom. Though very low bullish readings have been correlated with short-term term market rebounds, optimism among individual investors can stay at low levels for a period of time.

For example, bullish sentiment fell to 18.0% on August 17, 1990. Six months later on January 25, 1991, bullish sentiment was still low at 25.0%. Over that time period, the S&P 500 rose a mere 2.5%. Thus, while our survey has been correlated with market reversals, low bullish (or bearish) readings are not causal events.


"This week's special question asked AAII members whether they thought the stock market overall is presently fairly valued, undervalued or overvalued. The votes were very close, with those describing the market as overvalued only slightly exceeding the number who said the market was undervalued or fairly valued. AAII members are split about whether fears about slowing economic growth and sovereign debt problems have been fully priced into the market."
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AAII_Sentiment_July19_2012.png
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"I told you...................bring me everyone"...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MrTsuvykUZk
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