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Thanks for the chart xfrad.xfradnex wrote:Case for a dead cat bounce of some type at the bottom of the SPY channel in Blue. The Purple Line is for Daily highs and yellow for lows. If we go below bottom channel, assume we are in panic mode. Current support is 137.25: slope from last two lows; this is also supported by line created from lows on 7-12-12 and 7-24-12 (not a strong support); also supported by alot of revisits starting at 137.20 and below.
Nice chart and thanks for that, Royal-- I suspect we get a violent counter rally tues/wed to a high on 15th/16th then sell off..Royal Flush wrote:Friday's low was also a TCL OS. This one of my favorite setups in day trading on a 5" chart. I'm not sure of it's impact on such a long TF is anyone? If its like the prior low we could still get Trader Girl's low on the 15th.
What is TCL OS?Royal Flush wrote:Friday's low was also a TCL OS. This one of my favorite setups in day trading on a 5" chart. I'm not sure of it's impact on such a long TF is anyone? If its like the prior low we could still get Trader Girl's low on the 15th.
daytradingES wrote:Thanks for the chart xfrad.xfradnex wrote:Case for a dead cat bounce of some type at the bottom of the SPY channel in Blue. The Purple Line is for Daily highs and yellow for lows. If we go below bottom channel, assume we are in panic mode. Current support is 137.25: slope from last two lows; this is also supported by line created from lows on 7-12-12 and 7-24-12 (not a strong support); also supported by alot of revisits starting at 137.20 and below.
Does your chart indicate if Monday will be an up day?
You have two shaded rectangles showing 2 groups of 3 down days.
DT
Chris Kimble calls it "the eiffel tower pattern", it's the pattern that defines almost every bubble behavior in history, recent examples can include silver in 2011, the housing bubble price, nasdaq in 2000, shanghai index in 2007. the permanent features include exponential growth which is supported by ever steeper trendlines until a climax and a decline afterwards of at least 50%, sometimes much more. Apple's size is hurting it here unless it can produce a new and wonderful gadget that everyone in the world would buy in order to maintain its current growth.uempel wrote:Al_Dente, as to AAPL: I'm not sure if EW is the right approach. A few months ago I started to check out similar patterns from 2000. This monthly overview is not extremely precise, but it does show that the first bounce occurs near Fib 23.6%. Why not go back to 2000 and look at these old bounces more closely, on a daily chart? I guess these moves are going to be copied very precisely. Which one I like best? - I guess it's MSFT
No problem TCL OS = Trend Channel Line Over Shoot. Price Action (PA) on Fri. has indicated the beginnings of a reversal subsequent to the OS.daytradingES wrote:What is TCL OS?Royal Flush wrote:Friday's low was also a TCL OS. This one of my favorite setups in day trading on a 5" chart. I'm not sure of it's impact on such a long TF is anyone? If its like the prior low we could still get Trader Girl's low on the 15th.
Tks