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11/17/2012 Weekend Update

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Cobra
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11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Algo chart from stocktiming which in my opinion is the best chart stocktiming provides. So far no positive divergence, so the chart argues the selling isn't over yet. It's very oversold now, so a short-term rebound definitely is due.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Smart money covered a lot so this chart serves no value for now.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

AAII and II.

Retailers are little bit pessimistic now. Not extreme enough though.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Rosy picture from Bespoke.
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bullbear12
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by bullbear12 »

[img][img][/img][/img]
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every decline is not a bearish event.
every decline is not a bearish event.
bullbear12
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by bullbear12 »

The 10 min IWM is not only leading, but far above where the last cycle ended October 17/18th and where the new one began around Oct. 23
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Royal Flush
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Royal Flush »

Cobra wrote:Algo chart from stocktiming which in my opinion is the best chart stocktiming provides. So far no positive divergence, so the chart argues the selling isn't over yet. It's very oversold now, so a short-term rebound definitely is due.
Great chart thanks Cobra. I find it is important to review my trades in order to improve. Fridays low found support (point 3) at 2 TLs (1 & 2) on my tick chart. Furthermore the MFI indicator had divergence at that point. Although it is difficult to see on this chart there was a triangle buy signal at the low of the reversal bar. I like to have at least 2 reasons to enter a trade but 4 reasons to go long means double up .

I would like to congratulate in daytradingES's Thurday close Best Guess range of 1342 to 1359.25, well done and please keep up the great work :lol:
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uempel
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

My grids and ellipses on BPNYA and BPSPX suggest that the low ain't in yet :o
BPNYAA.png
BPSPXX.png
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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

The outer red band represents 3 standard deviations above/below the 50ma on SPX
SPX has spent the last 8 trading days in that red zone, including yesterday.
That is unusual, and dangerous.
SPX needs to bounce out of there… and quick…. then the correction might be analogous to May’s correction: low selling volume, no wash-out climax,
lower low bottom, then a little retest … essentially a wussie correction, just like May’s…
The more time SPX spends in the 3 std-dev red zone, the greater the risk of a crash-ette more like Aug 2011.
IMHO
1117wkndstddev.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
uempel
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

Al_Dente wrote:The outer red band represents 3 standard deviations above/below the 50ma on SPX
SPX has spent the last 8 trading days in that red zone, including yesterday.
That is unusual, and dangerous.
SPX needs to bounce out of there… and quick…. then the correction might be analogous to May’s correction: low selling volume, no wash-out climax,
lower low bottom, then a little retest … essentially a wussie correction, just like May’s…
The more time SPX spends in the 3 std-dev red zone, the greater the risk of a crash-ette more like Aug 2011.
IMHO
1117wkndstddev.png
Great chart Al. But may I remind you that it's Saturday, we've got a day off today. I'll be in the "Totò Bar" at 6 pm, TraderGirl will be there, you coming too :roll:
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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

uempel wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:The outer red band represents ...bla bla...
Great chart Al. But may I remind you that it's Saturday, we've got a day off today. I'll be in the "Totò Bar" at 6 pm, TraderGirl will be there, you coming too :roll:
LUKE, I AM YOUR FATHER… COME TO THE DARK SIDE…
darth.png
Gotta go. I’ll see u tomorrow…

Until then I leave you with Lightnin´Hopkins http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3SXKLas ... re=related
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Are we there yet? are we there yet? :lol:
picture perfect is NO, my MO buy is confirmed and Bull bars are confirmed so for counter trenders this is a hammer time.
Hammers.JPG
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2.JPG
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Cobra
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Summary of this week's stock picks. It's a fantastic week for short. viewtopic.php?f=10&t=730&p=105284#p105284

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xfradnex
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by xfradnex »

World Elders 13 of 15 Red. Japan Blue. World volume moving up on Market price up, but not exhaustion = more down.
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Flip that coin.

Legal note:Don't believe anything I say above. You may lose yourA$$..
My chart has Daily Elders (Close, High, and Low), MA-2, CCI, and ATR for each stock; all color coded.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

the next week's stock picks.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=737&p=105287#p105287

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KeiZai
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

I am sharing the same idea as everyone here, but I am ready also for alternative as market like to leave people waiting for Godot :lol:

Countertrend rally shown in yellow, very unlikely but not impossible alternative in blue

Russell
R2K-17.png
Short-term
R2K-17-2.png
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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KeiZai
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

Just4fun

They must have a really good stuff :lol: : http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatcht ... hoobarrons

what a ride it must have been :mrgreen: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=MDBX ... =undefined;

I am watching some ganja stocks because I think there is quite big potential :shock:

another note this looks good too :D : http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... spray.html

http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=TRL.TO
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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pezhead9000
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by pezhead9000 »

bullbear12 wrote:The 10 min IWM is not only leading, but far above where the last cycle ended October 17/18th and where the new one began around Oct. 23
bullbear12 - is that from Trade Guild?
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by pezhead9000 »

FWIW: WSJ Money Flow - Block flow was negative. Not sure if this has much meaning.
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Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update

Post by pezhead9000 »

WSJ Sell on Strength - Apple. What does this mean? anything?
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