If you're StockCharts member, please do me a little favor by "vote" and the most importantly "follow" my public chart list HERE. You need "follow" only once but vote can be done everyday, so whenever you have time, please vote for me, thanks! If you're not StockCharts member, you can also help boosting my rank by clicking the link once everyday.
Please, again, all my calls in the daily live update is for intra-day only, they're absolutely invalid when the closing bell rings. If you're interested in the forecast for days and weeks, Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Personal attack on any board members won't be tolerated. Please limit your topic to trade related only.
I'm very busy during the trading hour, so your question posted on board might not be answered. For a guaranteed answer to your question please send email to info@cobrasmarketview.com.
Small gap down within yesterday's range, so the gap might be filled.
Key time on Global ES, if the current rebound cannot make a decisive new high then finally we may see a pullback of some kind. Watch breakdown below the thick blue line to confirm. On the other hand, Triple Top was rare so if the current rebound can touch the blue line above, then chances are it'd break above.
Attachments
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
I like this chart - shows the status beautifully: long term and short term resistance overhead (the markets are wildly overbought), but momentum power, liquidity and fundamentals pushing upwards from below
Last edited by uempel on Thu Jan 24, 2013 10:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
I was looking back at some of my old charts last night and found this very long term chart.
Looks like the lines in the sand are still holding but the squeeze is on.
The blue line is blue until it's not.
Below is a 20yr chart and a close up at 5yr
the open. Noted that the equal weighted SPX actually gaps up! maybe this market indeed will never ever pullback anymore.
Attachments
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Cobra wrote:the open. Noted that the equal weighted SPX actually gaps up! maybe this market indeed will never ever pullback anymore.
exactly. seems like charting only works for upside trends, I'm now thinking you can't use any chart indicator to pin a downside move... it just doesn't happen.
VIX and More wrote something that's very interesting a couple of days ago:
"Today we are seeing a VIX of about 12.50 – the lowest the index has been since June 2007 – and once again investors are grappling for the proper context. Let me throw a new concept into the mix that may help: the inverted percentile VIX, a distant cousin of the inverted VIX. The way to think about the inverted percentile VIX is in terms of the lifetime of VIX values, in which a VIX of 12.50 is in the 12.2 percentile. The inverse of that is the 87.8 percentile, which corresponds with a VIX of 28.67. Now I am guessing that for most investors a VIX of 12.50 feels much lower than a VIX of 28.67 feels high. Statistically they are almost identical in terms of being outliers, so if a 28.67 VIX doesn’t sound like a scary high number, then a VIX of 12.50 should not sound like a scary low number that is reflecting too much complacency.
Investors may wish to consider recalibrating their emotions and expectations or, failing that, take advantage of the relatively low VIX by buying some VIX calls so as to profit when the rest of the world comes to the realization that a VIX in the 12s is making them too nervous. Keep in mind, however, that current 10-day historical volatility of the SPX is in the 5s, so that number would have to double just to be able to support the current level of the VIX going forward."
uempel wrote:I like this chart - shows the status beautifully: long term and short term resistance overhead (the markets are wildly overbought), but momentum power, liquidity and fundamentals pushing upwards from below