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Flat open, so any gap will be filled.
My wild-est-est-est guess is the Global ES might have a pullback today because I see small 3 Push Up on the chart. That said as long as the blue line hold, bulls are OK. In fact, bears need a sharp pullback, any small and slow pullback only means it's just a pullback.
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the rebound on DAX does not look good, may resume down sometimes later, I guess.
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Momentum Block
Global Equity Futures: US Bullish, EUR Bearish
Key Currency Pairs: Bearish (Bearish SPY)
SP500 Futures are above the trend line break out. Target for rectangle breakout is ~1530. When currency traders are on the fence, moves up in SP500 are blunted while moves down are exaggerated. Caution is warranted.
Note: This is my way of gauging traders sentiment across markets. It is not a precise timing setup.
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
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Just a bigger picture look at things:
Since the 2009 rally began, the SPX has moved 11.3%, 9%8.8% & as of Fridays high 6.6% away from its 12month SMA before we have seen a mean reversion to back below the 12month SMA (although the last 2 pullbacks never closed below it). It's interesting to note that as this cyclical bull has aged that the moves away from this MA have trend lower. Right now the mean sits at 9%.
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nothing new, as long as blue line hold, bulls are OK. as long as no sharp pullback, it's not bear attack.
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This is last week's chart - resistance up at 1518 is still holding.
Green cycle signal for today and March futures ran up to 1516.75 before the opening, but so far SPX doesn't show the strength to climb any higher I'm not yet sure in which direction the move will occur...
Note the chart below..The 30 day strength is tending lower..The bottom chart the breakout direction indicator did break thru its support and is tending lower..Compare with the past months on the charts and maybe the bears might have some hope..Lets see.