Presidents’ Day, Only Negative Holiday Before & After $SPY $DIA $QQQ $IWM
By Jeffrey A. Hirsch
Page 86 of the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2013, points out that Presidents’ Day is the poorest performing holiday of the eight holidays that are tracked. Unlike the others, the trading day before and the trading day after this three-day holiday weekend are both down on average over the past 33 years.
Depending on how February lays out in a monthly calendar, the Tuesday after Presidents’ Day is either the first trading day of option expiration week or the week after options expiration week. In the table below, the years when Presidents’ Day occurs in the week after option expiration are highlighted. In these years, losses on the day after tend to exceed the average loss for all years. 2013 falls into this category.
Regardless if the holiday is in the third or fourth week of February, the Friday before has a miserable track record with the least bad performance coming from the Russell 2000 small-cap index. It has managed to advance in 10 of the past 22 years. This modest outperformance could be attributed to the fading January Effect which is the tendency of small-cap stocks to outperform large caps from mid-December through mid-to-late February.
Presidents’ Day, Only Negative Holiday Before & After $SPY $DIA $QQQ $IWM
Link
http://blog.stocktradersalmanac.com/pos ... IA-QQQ-IWM