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Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

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Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week? And if indeed, what would you do?

Yes, there'll be a sharp rebound, but I won't trade on this speculation, the trend is down, so I'll sell the rebound.
33
39%
Yes, there'll be a sharp rebound, so I'm accumulating long positions a little by a little now. It's time to be greedy!
33
39%
No, there won't be any meaningful rebound, we're doomed. Run as fast as you can!
18
21%
 
Total votes: 84

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Cobra
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Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Cobra »

Hi, guys, poll time again. SPX has been down 7 days in a row, got to be a rebound of some kind, right?

So the question is: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week? And if indeed, how are you preparing for that, accumulating a little by a little now or wait to sell the rally?
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ultramarine
Posts: 194
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2011 9:25 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by ultramarine »

Thanks for all your charts this week Cobra. And give my best to SuperBen! :D

I voted for doom -- we could get some rebound next week but probably not a meaningful one.
tigerwang9999
Posts: 41
Joined: Sat Oct 22, 2011 12:12 pm

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by tigerwang9999 »

yes, there will be a rebound from 1140----1200
lungfish
Posts: 1
Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2011 1:29 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by lungfish »

Absolutely! But the question is when. I guess we may not see this happens before USD/EUR get to this year's low (1.30).
michelangelo
Posts: 72
Joined: Thu Oct 13, 2011 1:59 pm

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by michelangelo »

I expect a bottom to form in the next 3 days.
Buckethead
Posts: 141
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2011 10:48 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Buckethead »

This market will only reward courageous on both sides. Must have alot of balls to take long this weekend. Having said that can gap up large and go higher Monday BIG and then late longs get scorched on Tuesday when we retest low. By Dec 1 we probably bottomed out for rest of year slowly to 1250. Then January we fall again in a big way. My opinion only. Trade carefully.
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GreedyKojiro
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Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by GreedyKojiro »

Buckethead wrote:This market will only reward courageous on both sides. Must have alot of balls to take long this weekend. Having said that can gap up large and go higher Monday BIG and then late longs get scorched on Tuesday when we retest low. By Dec 1 we probably bottomed out for rest of year slowly to 1250. Then January we fall again in a big way. My opinion only. Trade carefully.
I think all of the men here have two balls max :D the question is are they steel or are they meat? :lol:
gabor
Posts: 298
Joined: Mon May 09, 2011 6:16 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by gabor »

No Thanksgiving rally, German bonds are cosidered as junk. Anything can happen next week. Do you understand?Anything. Until the common eurobond is created this chaos is going on. If it is created, then we may rally, but recession is still on the horizon.
Last edited by gabor on Fri Nov 25, 2011 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by uempel »

SPX might be at support, but this BPNYA chart looks bad for bulls:
BPNYA.png
Buckethead
Posts: 141
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2011 10:48 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Buckethead »

Anectodally hearing around, sentiment looks short term traders not many short but not many long. No balls either way. Thanksgiving game over too. The "easy" make money long was big failure this year. Today the last holiday longs left that game at the close.

What do I see in my dreams? What is it that screws the majority short term. So bulls now looking for lower to get aggressive long and some ball-less greedy late shorts looking for more down. So the screw the most scenario is Monday we gap up and run. Many bulls unlikely to chase the morning cos of great fear of intraday reversal so we bid up all Monday BIG and then the bulls finally "reverse-capitulate" and chase long near the close where we push to the high of day. So the herd loads up there on the non-participation agony. Then we retest low Tues/Wed.

Also:

NYMO is way oversold should be good for a 3% bounce early next week.
Bollinger bandwidth on major indexes declined today, first day since plunge started. Why is this important? Because bollinger bandwidth expanding WIDE is continuation of trend. When contracts,usually trend reversal for 1-2 days.
GreedyKojiro wrote:
Buckethead wrote:This market will only reward courageous on both sides. Must have alot of balls to take long this weekend. Having said that can gap up large and go higher Monday BIG and then late longs get scorched on Tuesday when we retest low. By Dec 1 we probably bottomed out for rest of year slowly to 1250. Then January we fall again in a big way. My opinion only. Trade carefully.
I think all of the men here have two balls max :D the question is are they steel or are they meat? :lol:
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GreedyKojiro
Posts: 141
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Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by GreedyKojiro »

Buckethead wrote:Anectodally hearing around, sentiment looks short term traders not many short but not many long. No balls either way. Thanksgiving game over too. The "easy" make money long was big failure this year. Today the last holiday longs left that game at the close.

What do I see in my dreams? What is it that screws the majority short term. So bulls now looking for lower to get aggressive long and some ball-less greedy late shorts looking for more down. So the screw the most scenario is Monday we gap up and run. Many bulls unlikely to chase the morning cos of great fear of intraday reversal so we bid up all Monday BIG and then the bulls finally "reverse-capitulate" and chase long near the close where we push to the high of day. So the herd loads up there on the non-participation agony. Then we retest low Tues/Wed.

Also:

NYMO is way oversold should be good for a 3% bounce early next week.
Bollinger bandwidth on major indexes declined today, first day since plunge started. Why is this important? Because bollinger bandwidth expanding WIDE is continuation of trend. When contracts,usually trend reversal for 1-2 days.
GreedyKojiro wrote:
Buckethead wrote:This market will only reward courageous on both sides. Must have alot of balls to take long this weekend. Having said that can gap up large and go higher Monday BIG and then late longs get scorched on Tuesday when we retest low. By Dec 1 we probably bottomed out for rest of year slowly to 1250. Then January we fall again in a big way. My opinion only. Trade carefully.
I think all of the men here have two balls max :D the question is are they steel or are they meat? :lol:
I agree.
deacoes
Posts: 9
Joined: Fri Nov 25, 2011 11:29 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by deacoes »

I'm waiting for a huge volume day for the trend to switch... such as 11/17 on SPY which started this bear party.

Holding TLT

Voted:

No, there won't be any meaningful rebound, we're doomed. Run as fast as you can!

First post :roll:
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Cobra
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Posts: 58481
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Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Cobra »

deacoes wrote:I'm waiting for a huge volume day for the trend to switch... such as 11/17 on SPY which started this bear party.

Holding TLT

Voted:

No, there won't be any meaningful rebound, we're doomed. Run as fast as you can!

First post :roll:
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Me XMan
Posts: 2014
Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2011 12:01 pm

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Me XMan »

Sharp correction is to be expected IMO.
I'll short over 1200.
Fabbari
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Nov 21, 2011 3:50 am

Re: Are we going to have a sharp rebound the next week?

Post by Fabbari »

Hi there,

Voted: No, there won't be any meaningful rebound, we're doomed. Run as fast as you can!

I am expecting first 1100-1120, then rebound to level 1140-1150.

8-)
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