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StudentBill wrote:I was screwing around with some ratio charts and discovered that the ratio of the Canadian dollar to the VXV is very highly correlated to XIV. I started thinking about what McClellan did with the Euro Dollar COT report vs. the SP500 and I tried a similar chart with XIV and the Canadian Dollar COT data time shifted a few months. It's not nearly as nice as the $CDW:VXV but it's interesting I think. According to that chart XIV will top out Last week of Jan. or first week of Feb. I have some idea of what to do next but I think this is an interesting start.BullBear52x wrote:Thanks, regret that you are missing the train? it wouldn't surprise me at all that it will hit your target some times the best looking entry turns out to be the most unprofitable one. I don't know what to talk bout this week, seems like we cover all possible corner of the market already short or long term. anyone want second opinion on anything? I'll check back in tomorrow.KeiZai wrote:My primary target in russell has been reached...closed all long positions here, opened new ones...if u know what I mean
Everyone see bond market as bearish, not me...might around 168 I will If anyone is trading RIMM here, this is what I see
-made one change there, with big gap down cycle has ended, nevertheless chart was on the money : viewtopic.php?f=2&t=769&p=110295#p110295
this is very likely exhaustion gap BB I think I will regret I didn´t go short XIV, friday´s move was more like throw over what is very often in ending patterns (for example in ending diagonals) might you know my MT target is 21.90 that´s f* close....and thanks for charts at the end of the day, like them...have a nice weekend guys
Thanks and good luck to everyone.
thanks you.Al_Dente wrote:This colorful $VIX chart was inspired by David Larew.
I tweaked it a bit. His key would be to long SPY when u see green; short SPY when u see red.
ps: you can inaugurate The Cobra today right here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859
Tough one eh? Thanks for taking your time looking into it. it's do or die spot for INTCKeiZai wrote:Have tried to take a look on the intel, you chose very difficult stock from EW perspective What I don´t like here is that she is in the middle of the turnBullBear52x wrote:INTC, is bullish and at the last buy for long term swing, ready for long entry any time soon. as of now wait for good entry using short term swing for this one will be my plan.look at RIMM, (KeiZai nailed this one every pennies) I can see the buyers for INTC, using RIMM as analog this is for long term swing set up.
IMO because Japan has an export driven economy all Jap will be more expensive there lower exports therefore lower GDP etc etc a humongous deflationary environment for them. For the world Jap goods will become more expensive due to higher prices thus creating inflation that the west sees as good for an economy. Balance of payments will rise therefore the deficet will grow and due to higher prices therefore GDP will fall and the fiscal cliff gets biggerKeiZai wrote:I am not a smart currency person but on friday there were signs of capitulation so rebound is due soon. What can weak yen mean? I guess weakness in yen indicates late stage of the structural bear equity market...Al_Dente wrote:The net is buzzing about the YEN's “impending” demise.
According to my 6 year WEEKLY chart, it has been in free-fall for the last 10 weeks, and is now about as oversold as it has ever been in its history.
I don’t really understand what this means.
Perhaps a smart “currency person” could enlighten us as to the ramifications this may/may-not have on our domestic equity markets.
"A falling yen can be interpreted in two ways: a) Flight to safety trades are going out of the market and, b) The yen is starting to be used as a funding currency. The yen exhibited strength the whole of 2011 as the markets worried about the collapse of the euro and about the debt issues in the US."
read more here: http://www.firstpost.com/investing/a-we ... 19969.html
Al_Dente wrote:Thanks Bossuempel wrote:First chart: stepping back and looking at the run from March 2009:
Second chart: close look at the importance of support at 1472/74:
Please see cobra’s weekend “market outlook” comments section, for a special request from moi.
Happy MLK day
Thanks boss, I really appreciate thatuempel wrote:Al_Dente wrote:Thanks Bossuempel wrote:First chart: stepping back and looking at the run from March 2009:
Second chart: close look at the importance of support at 1472/74:
Please see cobra’s weekend “market outlook” comments section, for a special request from moi.
Happy MLK day
Can that be reproduced on Freestockcharts.com?Al_Dente wrote:This colorful $VIX chart was inspired by David Larew.
I tweaked it a bit. His key would be to long SPY when u see green; short SPY when u see red.
ps: you can inaugurate The Cobra today right here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859
I spoke to a elderly Lady today, she used to work for Lehman Brothers. I know her since 19... and she sure is smart. She was quite surprised that I was bullishly biased for Tuesday, said that her circle of friends/traders were reducing equities last week She's no day-trader and she doesn't short, but her short term bearishness was unexpected.Al_Dente wrote:Thanks boss, I really appreciate thatuempel wrote:Al_Dente wrote:Thanks Bossuempel wrote:First chart: stepping back and looking at the run from March 2009:
Second chart: close look at the importance of support at 1472/74:
Please see cobra’s weekend “market outlook” comments section, for a special request from moi.
Happy MLK day
Dang, I was kind of hoping for a surprise
HOWEVER PLEASE NOTE: on yr chart I count six instances where your dotted-vertical-red line was immediately followed by a pullback
…. and I count four instances where your dotted-vertical-red line was followed by a rally…….so really….seriously…….it could go either way….(bias bull).
Stay flexible, as always...
It is just color-blocked using the “area” fill-in feature on stockcharts.comL_T wrote:Can that be reproduced on Freestockcharts.com?Al_Dente wrote:This colorful $VIX chart was inspired by David Larew.
I tweaked it a bit. His key would be to long SPY when u see green; short SPY when u see red.
ps: you can inaugurate The Cobra today right here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859
Hi Cobra, XSP.TO tracks ES while it was trading. ES closed at 11:30 EST, like you, I have no idea what caused the subsequent retracement in XSP.Cobra wrote:Here's how Canadian forecast SPX tomorrow as TSX is open today and it has an ETF trading SPX. It was very good until now, something happened.
Bigger picture.
Kyle Bass on Japan....Al_Dente wrote:The net is buzzing about the YEN's “impending” demise.
According to my 6 year WEEKLY chart, it has been in free-fall for the last 10 weeks, and is now about as oversold as it has ever been in its history.
I don’t really understand what this means.
Perhaps a smart “currency person” could enlighten us as to the ramifications this may/may-not have on our domestic equity markets.