Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

04/18/2013 Live Update

Vaamsy
Posts: 174
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2011 12:54 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Vaamsy »

Slight crack of the 50DMA on SPY and at lower BB support + double bottom setup.
Double top on VXX + upper bollinger band breach. Same on $VIX
UUP at resitance - mid bb
Am going long, help me.
Denali92
Posts: 526
Joined: Wed May 25, 2011 3:39 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Denali92 »

COBRA NAILED this one with his FIREWORKS set up - just like Jul 2011 (and also Sep 2011 - but Jul was more dramatic!)

Per everything I have written before about this opex - it is going as expected - with the various buy signals we have had, by far the highest probability based on history is for a significant bottom tomorrow or early next week - the July 2011 analog would suggest an inside day tomorrow and then down hard on Monday to make the low

Another VERY interesting analog is OCTOBER 2007 - as we had the major top on the Thursday before opex - the structure is slightly different and the day count is different, but if we had a BIG GAP down tomorrow or Monday then that would also follow nicely - the one reason I like Oct 2007 is that we then rallied to test the highs which failed on Oct 31, 2007's FOMC meeting - when is our next FOMC meeting May 1st!

Every interesting!

-D
User avatar
TWT
Posts: 2506
Joined: Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:57 am
Contact:

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by TWT »

$NDX: Approaching the 200 dma (It should rebound)
Attachments
NDX DAILY.png
User avatar
Nrsimha
Posts: 473
Joined: Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:54 pm

Re:

Post by Nrsimha »

MrMiyagi wrote:Come on now, shine like you never have before!!!

!!!!! POWER HOUR !!!!!
:D

:thumbs:
User avatar
gappy
Posts: 3163
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2011 3:34 pm
Location: Peapatch Tx

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by gappy »

Denali92 wrote:COBRA NAILED this one with his FIREWORKS set up - just like Jul 2011 (and also Sep 2011 - but Jul was more dramatic!)

Per everything I have written before about this opex - it is going as expected - with the various buy signals we have had, by far the highest probability based on history is for a significant bottom tomorrow or early next week - the July 2011 analog would suggest an inside day tomorrow and then down hard on Monday to make the low

Another VERY interesting analog is OCTOBER 2007 - as we had the major top on the Thursday before opex - the structure is slightly different and the day count is different, but if we had a BIG GAP down tomorrow or Monday then that would also follow nicely - the one reason I like Oct 2007 is that we then rallied to test the highs which failed on Oct 31, 2007's FOMC meeting - when is our next FOMC meeting May 1st!

Every interesting!

-D
:D
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
User avatar
TumblingDice
Posts: 81
Joined: Thu Mar 21, 2013 10:35 am

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by TumblingDice »

I guess it wan't meant to be today. No waterfall, AUD/JPY diverging positively, I'm flipping long.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 59748
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

rebound indeed, normally the rebound would fail. wait.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
ALdaytrade
Posts: 1244
Joined: Thu Apr 04, 2013 12:55 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by ALdaytrade »

Hey Al, do you have any indications that the big, big squeeze is coming up?[/quote]
Last edited by ALdaytrade on Thu Apr 18, 2013 4:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

uempel wrote:Hey Al, do you have any indications that the big, big squeeze is coming up?
“Full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.” [Faulkner]

I am a big bear, but all my bear targets were met already today
So ……… guessing…..bounce... then fail [?]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-I2s5zRbHg
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
KeiZai
Posts: 2827
Joined: Tue Nov 29, 2011 6:16 pm
Location: EUROPE

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by KeiZai »

Buyable dip? should be
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
User avatar
KENA
Posts: 2996
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 1:54 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by KENA »

The 8ma green line is starting to head up..This is a 1 hour chart so it will change fast..The dailey chart is just starting a turn.Wait and see.
file.png
file.png (6.65 KiB) Viewed 9036 times
User avatar
stlwater
Posts: 613
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2011 2:00 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by stlwater »

KeiZai wrote:Buyable dip? should be
it is fer me.. we can go lower but we'll be back here again soon even if we do unless... it's 1987 again and my Delorian is parked in the driveway.
User avatar
Nrsimha
Posts: 473
Joined: Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:54 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Nrsimha »

BTW I posted this "P-bar" (about a week and a half ago) that I noticed after hours on the oil-price site.
I posted it kind of tongue-in-cheek, but with the events of the last few days I am kind of going "Hmmmmmm".

No one commented on it before -- what do u guys make of it?

P.S: it also shows up on the daily as an actual print: http://www.pmbull.com/oil-price/
Attachments
oilpbar.jpg
oilpbar.jpg
Last edited by Nrsimha on Thu Apr 18, 2013 3:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
TWT
Posts: 2506
Joined: Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:57 am
Contact:

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by TWT »

$DOW: Overlapping within a Falling Wedge
Attachments
DOW 15 MIN.png
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

ALdaytrade wrote:
uempel wrote:Hey Al, do you have any indications that the big, big squeeze is coming up?
HVI.TO
hi al:
check your pm in a minute
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
MrMiyagi
Posts: 10330
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by MrMiyagi »

Nrsimha wrote:BTW I posted this "P-bar" (about a week and a half ago) that I noticed after hours on the oil-price site.
I posted it kind of tongue-in-cheek, but with the events of the last few days I am kind of going "Hmmmmmm".
No one commented on it before -- what do u guys make of it?
There are a couple on the US$ on this site.
flrtrader
Posts: 477
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:58 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by flrtrader »

Wheres this monster reversal someone talked about? Is My Clock fast?

:lol:
User avatar
Nrsimha
Posts: 473
Joined: Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:54 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Nrsimha »

TWT wrote:$DOW: Overlapping within a Falling Wedge

NICE !!!

Thanks for the chart! :D
User avatar
gappy
Posts: 3163
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2011 3:34 pm
Location: Peapatch Tx

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by gappy »

If no PPT manana then possible gap fill, invert h@s neckline regain.
sspy.png
Or not! :lol:
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 59748
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

volume surge, so may see pullback here, let's see if bears can make another new low, key time.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Post Reply