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There are still 6-day left before debt ceiling deadline. I speculate the market might be done selling by then. As for now, my Short-term signals show a very high percentage of more selling ahead.
I've been a MOMENTUM trader over a decade & I only trade setups ranging from scalping, day or swing trading for living. My posts on here are ONLY FOR FUN & therefore not recommending anything to anyone. GLTA.
Cobra. When the deal is reached, US$ will rise....the equity market will also rise but as the US $ rises, do u think the market eventually goes down and starts getting correlated again ?
How would you trade the debt deal basically is what I am trying to figure out ...in the short and intermediate term . Also what will your long term view be then on the US stock market ( this one is hard to say because there is still the Eurozone risk which will not go away anytime soon )
Thanks
Theoretically, I shouldn't care about whatever news, the signals telling me it's down, so I should trade down. But my weakness is I'm afraid too much, so although I believe it's down no matter what, but I'm pretty much very lightly positioned on the downside now.
When US$ rise, I believe the market will down.
Debt ceiling deal should include spending cut, I don't see why it's good news for the stock market, especially we don't have QE3 now.
thats what im thinking. If there is a deal -gold up $ up (i dont blv we'll see the positive corrrelation ) stocks down. No deal .....$ down , stocks down , Gold up ! Deal or no deal ....i think we go down tooo ....BUT then again ....just like u ...i'll trade what i see and not necessarily what i blv because i am nobody when it comes to the markets....the market doesnt listen to me ...i listen to the market....and to YOU ofcourse guruji !!
Cobra wrote:first touch of EMA20, let's see if the coming L2 short works or not. wait... I'm pretty much out of most of my day short, too scared even high odds there should be at least one more leg down, yes, it's my weakness and that's why I'm still working hard everyday...
Not weakness, smart risk management.
Just a big picture reminder, SPX closed at 1320.64 at the end of JUNE. A close below there on FRIDAY would get the mainstream media all buzzing over 3 months in the red, especially if the tea baggers only settle the deal over the weekend, which is looking more and more likely.
well, too later, it was an EMA Gap short. Just the time when I went to washroom. It's interesting, by the way, you Americans say restroom, while we Canadian say washroom.
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Cobra wrote:well, too later, it was an EMA Gap short. Just the time when I went to washroom. It's interesting, by the way, you Americans say restroom, while we Canadian say washroom.
In england we say "Toilet" and in India.....we say Latrine!!!
Cobra wrote:well, too later, it was an EMA Gap short. Just the time when I went to washroom. It's interesting, by the way, you Americans say restroom, while we Canadian say washroom.
In england we say "Toilet" and in India.....we say Latrine!!!
here comes the back test of the morning low. I see volume surge, so probably a rebound of some kind here? It's really hard to image the back test simply would be a higher low, but let's see.
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Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
I watch these ETFS but I am already in Direxion etfs such as FAS, FAZ,TNA,TZA.
thanks. that's a good list.
in summary, it says long Bond, Financial, Junk bonds, short gold and silver. i am also thinking currencies.
Soku,
I just posted what I read, truthfully I don't trust any of them. When this cycle of bull market ends, this market will be in zigzag downtrending, so having etfs with (bull and bear) combo helps to gain more if we know the direction of the market. If you master in currencies, stay in whatever you are good at. I mainly stay in financials and small caps just b/c it has nice volume. Once this is done, i would be looking for something else, IMO. You can always find a fish in this big sea.