09/12/2016 Live Update

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:13 am

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No idea whether the rebound was over or not, generally it'd fail eventually anyway.

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:18 am

members only update starts here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2016/09 ... ay-update/

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:26 am

SPX possible support here , close.. gaps filled. 20w SMA close at 2119.76. Stronger support near 2100ish. VIX resistance here.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:27 am

/ES Daily

JFR · Post by **JFR** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:34 am

Crash, boom bah ...

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:37 am

SPX trying to fill morning gap, and hold 20w/100d near 2122.50

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:39 am

members only update at 9:38 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2016/09 ... ay-update/

Out of Bounds · Post by **Out of Bounds** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:48 am

Closed ALL shorts 2118

Going to get some things done today. Totally neutral.

DellGriffith · Post by **DellGriffith** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:49 am

daily SPY:

target is SPY 204. So looking for an entry on some sort of overbought condition. Couldn't short the gap down since that was extreme oversold. I'll be patient for my entry.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:59 am

SPX 20w/100d holding and trying to bounce

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:04 am

members only update at 10:05 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2016/09 ... ay-update/

Trades with cats · Post by **Trades with cats** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:05 am

The uber dove, Lael Brainard, best known for repeated political donations (unseemly for a fed governor) will be the last to speak before the blackout starts. She is expected to start at around 1:20 eastern today. So the release of her speech from press embargo could put some extra life into the 3:30 ramp today

DellGriffith · Post by **DellGriffith** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:09 am

Im more than willing to scrap all my plans due to speeches today lol

DellGriffith · Post by **DellGriffith** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:10 am

I should short right NOW at SPY 213.44 but im not due to speeches.

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:10 am

SPY couldn't pass 20ema on first try.

DellGriffith · Post by **DellGriffith** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:22 am

Well that would have blown up.

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:23 am

Trades with cats · Post by **Trades with cats** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:25 am

DellGriffith wrote:Im more than willing to scrap all my plans due to speeches today lol

(big sigh) Well with this crazy world of central planning you gotta know what they are up to.

My guess is because this first leg down was caused by "Peter Pan" Kuroda screwing up the JGB market the best Janet and Company can do is soften the blow. Gandalf said in his note that the normal September October volatility is enough to force Bridgewater and the rest of the bozy (Systematic Trading Funds) to cut their record leverage. Depending on who you read the 50 or 100 or what ever billion dollars in selling has to be covered by somebody and right now it isn't Tim Cook and the rest of the CEO's (only source of new money for a year or more) so that means Super Mario and his partners at the Swiss National Bank have to step up. Well didn't Schwabel just step on Mario's foot? Just to make it worse oil isn't going up and all those oil states in and out of OPEC have to meet payroll so you know they will be adding to the selling pressure to make up their shortfall. So somebody somewhere needs to pick up the pace on money printing big time.

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:29 am

maybe rebound has legs?

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:41 am

mind the possible invs H&S should SPX hold the 20w/100d to the downside 2123ish.. measured move if it goes = 2148 SPX 5m

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