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02/13/2018 Live Update

Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:21 am

tim-follows wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:According to .............

so the greatest pain occurs with a lower than expected cpi
if within range of expectations, record shorts in 10yr futures will likely cover a bit, seems slightly bullish for equities tomorrow

:D
CPI and retail sales report before the open tomorrow 8:30 am ET
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:25 am

XLY:XLP (short-term) is approaching last Wed's high. (A rough measure of "risk on").
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:46 am

QQQ trying to stay grn
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Trades with cats » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:50 am

New shorts or trapped dip buyers getting out. :?
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby JFR » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:52 am

Yes. QQQ filled the overnight gap. As did the associated future, NQ. YM and ES following along. ES not there, as of yet. If one fills, there is no guarantee another will fill.
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:53 am

IWM gap fill.
EEM, FXI hod
Last edited by Daniel on Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Feb 13, 2018 11:55 am

Key time again.. /ES yellow.. stall and fail look to lower levels.. over it look to 2676?ish
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:05 pm

RVX has been quietly surging since an opening dip, now back near the HOD...

Update: TLT selling off a bit here, dropping from near hod... this perhaps is why XLF and KRE just hit their HOD.
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:29 pm

“I'm shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!” [Captain Renault]

"Rampant Manipulation Of VIX"
Bloomberg reports a whistleblower has come forward telling U.S. regulators that a scheme to manipulate the VIX costs investors hundreds of millions of dollars a month.
CBOE swiftly denied it
Full Whistleblower Letter To Regulators here:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02- ... lation-vix
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:49 pm

Al_Dente wrote:Full Whistleblower Letter To Regulators here:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02- ... lation-vix

Yest. (an overall UP day) Courtesy of the RevShark shop..

$3billion market on close for sale. That's a big MOC-to-sell. Just routine selling, right? It feels like they are still screwing around with the volatility trades.
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby fehro » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:50 pm

To put last week's non-recession (allegedly) correction in perspective, Deutsche notes that (1) 3-5% selloffs as normal, occurring on average every 2-3 months. Given the emphasis in the market narrative on rates in driving the equity selloff, the taper tantrum saw only a modestly bigger than normal 6% very short-lived sell off; however (2) "10% corrections are rare."

Outside of recessions, when the unemployment rate is falling, there have only been 15 such selloffs since 1950, i.e., in the last 67 years, or 1 every 4.5 years on average.



https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-13/nixon-shock-ltcm-china-devaluation-how-rare-10-market-corrections-are
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:52 pm

~one hour ago
Powell gets sworn in and spoke for a moment
said the Fed would “preserve the essential gains in financial regulation while seeking to ensure that our policies are as efficient as possible. We will remain alert to any developing risks to financial stability.”
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa- ... SKCN1FX1YO
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:54 pm

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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Daniel » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:55 pm

Daniel wrote:RVX has been quietly surging since an opening dip, now back near the HOD...


Update: Still true. Steady upward creep continues--and now VXN is coming up off the lows.

:|
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:57 pm

Daniel wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:Full Whistleblower Letter To Regulators here:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02- ... lation-vix

Yest. (an overall UP day) Courtesy of the RevShark shop..
$3billion market on close for sale. That's a big MOC-to-sell. Just routine selling, right? It feels like they are still screwing around with the volatility trades.

Boss: what is RevShark?
can u link please
thanks
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Cobra » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:01 pm


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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby brokebybernacke2 » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:07 pm

Al_Dente wrote:Powell's prepared remarks here:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newseven ... 80213a.htm



Jerome ,Janet, Potatoe, Potato - he' s got our backs!! :lol:
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:08 pm

AD started out today as bear cub; now nobody dominates; chop; it’s anybody’s game
NYAD is red BUT SLOPE IS UP
213ad.png.png
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Al_Dente » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:10 pm

brokebybernacke2 wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:Powell's prepared remarks here:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newseven ... 80213a.htm

Jerome ,Janet, Potatoe, Potato - he' s got our backs!! :lol:

:lol: :lol: :roll:
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Re: 02/13/2018 Live Update

Postby Trades with cats » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:12 pm

This market is locked down tight. Can't believe the GAP is still open.

Must say with all the hype CPI is getting as much attention as payrolls, I suppose because it is a window into the Feds thinking.
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