Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

10/04/2012 Live Update

Post Reply
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by uempel »

KENA wrote:
uempel wrote:My best guess: SPX closes up at 1370, then a move tomorrow morning, counter movement Monday afternoon :geek:
Hi Uemple..That is quite a prediction and is possible..Thanks for the info.
All I have are several ellipses showing resistance at 1471/72. Suggests that SPX might want to go up there today (or tomorrow)
shaca
Posts: 130
Joined: Sun May 13, 2012 1:25 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by shaca »

how can the market stay green with this up volume?
it must be really manipulated to close positive, today this market is not pushing up
Attachments
nyavol.jpg
User avatar
Mr. BachNut
Posts: 2688
Joined: Thu Feb 24, 2011 2:28 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Mr. BachNut »

Market Neutral.
Short got stopped out on the break of Monday's high for small loss.
Looking to reposition but need to see how things unfold a bit.

A question at the end of last week was whether the softness in the market was primarily quarter end stuff.
While a number of technical internals have not been encouraging this week, we have been seeing higher closes and higher lows, which is bullish and not consistent with a downtrend.
This morning's action blew through the declining tops line. The rising bottoms line looks good.
So, given the lack of follow through post quarter-end, risk management wins the day.

It is possible this is a last squeeze and gasp up before resuming down.
My McClellan reading this morning is just reaching zero from solidly negative days prior.
It is common for a counter trend rally to get up to the zero neighborhood and reverse.
However, this is the charge back to the highs. The action ahead has implications.
Bulls need to keep this moving. So, I expect they well.

My composite technical trend signal, which is price sensitive, may turn up today.
My summation index signal, which is advance decline sensitive, remains down.
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

uempel wrote:
Mr. BachNut wrote:Market Neutral. See uempel graphic below. :!:
Mr. BachNut, the long term weekly with the Andrews is not foolproof. It's a weekly and I can draw the Andrews differently by disregarding the candle wicks. This version shows resistance up at 1500....
The attachment 35.png is no longer available
there is also a channel on SPX with resistance somewhere near yours around 1497ish....
Attachments
Screen Shot 2012-10-04 at 8.49.22 AM.png
User avatar
Me XMan
Posts: 2014
Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2011 12:01 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Me XMan »

Ride the bus people! Don't let it run over you. ;)
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

PAGE HARAPA
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

DJI has a channel as well, and it hit resistance at that same channel...

I guess it busts through at some point to test the highs of 2007.
Attachments
Screen Shot 2012-10-04 at 8.52.59 AM.png
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

TraderGirl wrote:DJI has a channel as well, and it hit resistance at that same channel...

I guess it busts through at some point to test the highs of 2007.
That resistance is now around 13,640...
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Inverse H&S?
54.png
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:PAGE HARAPA
Holding Long.
Enjoying how Lion exhausts the Zebra (who actually can run faster than the lion) before enjoying the feast!
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
CH37
Posts: 95
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2011 12:07 am

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by CH37 »

uempel wrote:My best guess: SPX closes up at 1370, then a move tomorrow morning, counter movement Monday afternoon :geek:

Excuse me, did you mean 1370 or 1470 ? :o
ClarkW
Posts: 1325
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:28 am

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by ClarkW »

Still monitoring NATGAS but without a position. Will GASX honor the trendlines or is it a h&s? Time will tell. Anyone playing with $NATGAS?
Attachments
GASX 60 min 10.04.12.png
victorm
Posts: 302
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 4:00 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by victorm »

CH37 wrote:
uempel wrote:My best guess: SPX closes up at 1370, then a move tomorrow morning, counter movement Monday afternoon :geek:

Excuse me, did you mean 1370 or 1470 ? :o
that's right ... :lol: 1370
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

rebound appears weak SO FAR, wait.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
KeiZai
Posts: 2827
Joined: Tue Nov 29, 2011 6:16 pm
Location: EUROPE

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by KeiZai »

euro and russell rocking
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:PAGE HARAPA
Holding Long.
Enjoying how Lion exhausts the Zebra (who actually can run faster than the lion) before enjoying the feast!
I have agree long swing since yest open
[oooo now sqz :arrow: :geek: ]
104vix.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

HARAPA
The bottom 2 panels are based on yr macd and cci
They refer to the INVERTED VIX
I still can’t figure out if I really need them
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:HARAPA
The bottom 2 panels are based on yr macd and cci
They refer to the INVERTED VIX
I still can’t figure out if I really need them
The discovery of EMA cross made them redundant. :(
Gap Up prediction (posted on subscriber's site) materialized :D
Attachments
vix tl breaks.gif
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
User avatar
Jack12
Posts: 301
Joined: Thu Sep 20, 2012 7:42 am
Location: Durban

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Jack12 »

KENA wrote:
uempel wrote:My best guess: SPX closes up at 1370, then a move tomorrow morning, counter movement Monday afternoon :geek:
Hi Uemple..That is quite a prediction and is possible..Thanks for the info.
the lower high suggests this is a B,2 or a 4. I see it as a B.
A=C or 0.76 or 0.9 of A
http://jaxdax.blogspot.com/
You must be in it to win it.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 64719
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 10/04/2012 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

I see this as revisit the morning high, so no failure allowed for bulls.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Post Reply