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Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:00 pm
by Cobra
fighting the low, hold your breath. hopefully this volume surge could help bulls

Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:02 pm
by SWalsh
Looks like a triangle holds here at 133.75ish or you are about to see a wave 3 lower
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:03 pm
by Cobra
target.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:06 pm
by Cobra
volume surges again, time time might help bulls, we'll see.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:07 pm
by SWalsh
TRIANGLE DEAD
I'm not saying they won't drive it up and be something else in a corrective pattern, but wave D can't be longer than wave C and now it is.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:08 pm
by Cobra
aapl might break down too, as I said, you don't want to see the consolidation above any support.
http://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/c ... /260183775;
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:12 pm
by Al_Dente
I’m watching for bot volume buying (its all selling now)
Or bears short covering (not yet)
Unless we get either of those
this is looking a bit crash-like (by that I mean: nothing can stop them except bots or short covering?)
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:12 pm
by Cobra
volume keeps surging, so still think a rebound is possible here but since the damage is done so the rebound NORMALLY would fail.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:14 pm
by Mr. T
SWalsh wrote:TRIANGLE DEAD
I'm not saying they won't drive it up and be something else in a corrective pattern, but wave D can't be longer than wave C and now it is.
So what you're saying is it's wave "Double D" now???

Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:14 pm
by Me XMan
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:15 pm
by Al_Dente
bot buying one minute ago
(volume, 1min)
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:15 pm
by Cobra
let's take a look at this descending triangle break down one more time.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:17 pm
by Cobra
wow, another big volume bar, must be some bad news.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:19 pm
by Al_Dente
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:20 pm
by Cobra
by the way, my from high to low 6.5%+ pullback is officially fulfilled at this moment. It worked since year 2000, no exception.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:21 pm
by Cobra
again, rebound maybe, but NORMALLY it shall fail, the damage is done. Check the adjust point I reported in yesterday's Market Outlook.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:22 pm
by fehro
lower trendline?
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:23 pm
by SWalsh
Mr. T wrote:SWalsh wrote:TRIANGLE DEAD
I'm not saying they won't drive it up and be something else in a corrective pattern, but wave D can't be longer than wave C and now it is.
So what you're saying is it's wave "Double D" now???

LOL...Well, how old are those Double Ds now?
Here's the most relevant pattern as I have been seeing it. No reason not to think it's the most valid objective. PLUS, almost every guy who thought counting waves is simple and all you need to do is post corrective waves because it's always going back up thinks we would have only a slight decline (or even finished last week)and be much higher now.
Before one looks at this chart remember the FIRST rule of trading:
ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN which is another way of saying
NEVER BET THY WHOLE WAD!
P.S. Don't tell anyone, but
it might be STFR time!
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:24 pm
by Me XMan
Looking for SPX 1250 this summer.
Re: 05/15/2012 Live Update
Posted: Tue May 15, 2012 3:24 pm
by fehro
seems 1320 would be a reasonable bounce target.