"I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms."
Just saw this quote (from Paul Tudor) a few days ago as I was flipping through my copy of "Market Wizards". For those looking at book lists earlier in the week this is definitely a good one. Easy reading with lots of distilled trading wisdom from people who have taken a lot of money from the rest of us!
Guessing that a lot of people will be heading to the Hamptons or other places I will never be for the long weekend, so assuming that they are all short, will there be a bit of a rally shortly as they even up for the weekend?
"I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms."
Tudor is a nervous wreck, hope he does not end like Jesse Livermore. These Hedge Fund managers have a tough job. Recently saw a picture of Paulson in the FT. He does not look very happy...
To catch tops or bottoms on the chart ain't that difficult - it's the trading part which is extremely difficult. The market always wants to confuse. Very often I've been long or short at the right spot - and the market got rid of my position. Last time it happened Wednesday, market caught my SL by 0.25 cents. Seconds later the move which I had anticipated was all go... I missed the boat as I was not in front of the screen. Hey, I need some food from time to time, and a beer too
Last edited by uempel on Fri Sep 02, 2011 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
lunch time. very boring day, if this is going to test the morning low the 3rd time, it shouldn't hold. I don't know.
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So…according to their expert posts, it looks like “AK84” and “waverider” shorted NFLX…
Congratulations to both of them!!!
I have one observation: most intelligent and original technical analysts I know are also very astute speculators of fundamentals and news - real and fabricated. The famous sentence” news don’t matter” is an “ego trip” that they put in the preface of their books, destined to sell a lot. The really good “salesmen” among them accompany this statement with another one: “ It doesn’t matter if you have a 2-digits IQ, and never had any math in your education…just use the tricks I’ll teach you…”
And then comes: ”…500 bucks for the course…por favor”
Cobra -- do you think a break below the morning low necessarily means a quick trip to 115-116 of could it simply back test the triangle resistance line a little further over? This would produce a lower low on the day but it may not be by very much.