tdo722 wrote:Al_Dente wrote:tdo722 wrote:GreedyKojiro wrote:dcurban1 wrote:So who gets the downgrades today in Europe? 3PM is the fun time!!!
I don't know but the S&P has been quiet lately while Fitch already released their updates. Today at close to get the news seems right. Markets need 3 days to digest anyway

...I need a job at S&P to help my sucky sucky trading skills.

TDO:
Have patience young one (For me, Cobra is best teacher for patience)
Today is bad for you? Tomorrow (Tuesday) will be
much better
You’ll get ‘em; you’ll get ‘em good...
PS: I got my face ripped off already today in ZSL…I’ll get ‘em tomorrow too…I'll get 'em good
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XsYJyVEU ... re=related
roger that!

Nice point al. again with the questions. . ."what is the same about my sucky sucky trading skills" there is a tread running though all these events. We suspect the thread is inside since some traders are doing ok during the same periods. We suspect the surface level trade analysis will turn up a pattern--but that that pattern is based on habits--tendencies--leaned responses (thanks skinner) in short perceptions based one way or another on past events. Further we suspect that (because the conscious mind is layered in and of itself but also only a thin overlay of the majority of the brain (eg mind is the perceived portion of the brain--but not the brain)that the problem is deeper.
we do not need to solve the whole problem at every level--but we do need to investigate. the first step to investigation is to RELAX.
we must drop our emotional ties to the event to the extent we can--one way to do this is to relax and consider the larger picture. once relaxed we look for patterns in the past moves--we must start with the idea "we have no clue what the patterns are" or we will overlook some patterns and place overemphasis others (very likely in order of our existing preference for perception.
The second any fairly consistent pattern shows up (there is nothing more depressing than fixing an intermittent electrical problem in your car or brain) we have a place to start. the approach to finding this pattern should be the sort of intent and caution used in hunting an animal larger than we are in a dark forest. this sort of attention assures we pay attention and don't drop any stitches (season of the witch/which (problem is more the issue). once the hunted animal is found--we slowly close in (setting up the best possible situation) and finally from the best possible position of strength timing and physical position we strike.
This metaphor may seem over done--but the real thing to admit is that "the animal" is larger than us in the immediate term (which is why it is eating our lunch currently). our habits and past learned responses are SHORT TERM (ONLY) often larger than our ability to perceive/interpret and take action. their weakness is (1) their patterns--a habit is a pattern. (2) that they don't change and we can.
Hence we refer to The Art of War about what to do when facing a larger force--we slowly wear it down and then when it is weak or positioned badly (both) we go for the kill. (timing speed and power in that order)