Re: 10/22/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:16 pm
Makes sense. I would like a market top here!...but will go wherever I'm led.jack black wrote:I figured it out. This helped: http://seekingalpha.com/article/318190- ... -hot-againjack black wrote:I understand that about VIX. But why that makes XIV divergent to VIX and SPX?L_T wrote:VIX futures in (major) contango right now. See this for more info:jack black wrote:Al_Dente,
Yes, this is what I'm talking about. XIV is clearly rising while SPX is making lower lows and highs.
The only other clear example of that I found in May 2011.
I guess I will keep the swing shorts a bit longer. Initially, I planned to cover at the opening panic selling, but that didn't materialize. No Black Monday this year I guess.
Jack
http://www.investingwithoptions.com/201 ... -contango/
BTW, record VIX contangos coincided with market tops, not surprisingly, and vice versa with backwardation.