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10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

seekingknowledge
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by seekingknowledge »

TZA 1 Minute.png
Went short on TZA a little past 10:30. For newbies to intraday trading, see chart and here was what I waited for:

* Pullback on fib to 61.28
* MACD crossover (this happened about 10:33). You'll see it on chart
* Breakdown of the Russell (movement below 50 MA). Note: I didn't wait to go under, just hit the 50. Got aggressive based on above 2 bullets. This was risky, better to wait to officially break below 50MA

Disclosure: Entry at 44.45 based on 61.28 fib

Now, go Bears go! Hope it works today. Got stopped out yesterday with small loss. GLTA.

Thanks, ULTRAMARINE, for teaching me how to properly attach an image. You now created a monster! I'm addicted. :D
tdo722
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by tdo722 »

PhilM wrote:
tdo722 wrote:When did you enter? 672?
Any target for how far this downdraft goes?
Looking at 1153 first, then 1135.
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jarbo456
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by jarbo456 »

in for as large a position as i'm willing to take...80 puts on SPY. now will wait to see if we can break 116.

stop loss for half the position at just above 116.60.
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CognitiveDissonance
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by CognitiveDissonance »

TNA p bar?
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Screen shot 2011-10-07 at 11.31.45 AM.png
@cognitivebias1
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BullBear52x
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by BullBear52x »

Risky Counter trend now is on, I will not over look the fact that the short term is up buy the dip is still in play. becarefull out there
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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soku
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

anybody has any idea on aa? my favorite mgr ackman is in (by rumor)
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
ultramarine
Posts: 194
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by ultramarine »

seekingknowledge wrote:
TZA 1 Minute.png
Went short on TZA a little past 10:30. For newbies to intraday trading, see chart and here was what I waited for:

* Pullback on fib to 61.28
* MACD crossover (this happened about 10:33). You'll see it on chart
* Breakdown of the Russell (movement below 50 MA). Note: I didn't wait to go under, just hit the 50. Got aggressive based on above 2 bullets. This was risky, better to wait to officially break below 50MA

Disclosure: Entry at 44.45 based on 61.28 fib

Now, go Bears go! Hope it works today. Got stopped out yesterday with small loss. GLTA.

Thanks, ULTRAMARINE, for teaching me how to properly attach an image. You now created a monster! I'm addicted. :D
Cheers, buddy! The intraday charts are what make this forum what it is. That and Cobra and all the other great people on there, of course.

Nice chart. What is your planned exit strategy?
lqiantobe
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by lqiantobe »

corba~ no comments?
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silicon_beaver
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by silicon_beaver »

Anyone buy dip?
FAS is under 11, was 11.70 this morning.
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rhight
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rhight »

Good morning all,

Butting up against some serious resistance here. A throwback before advancing makes sense to me. If it turns south here on the the currently accelerated minor trend cycle, that would make a Lower High on the Daily chart sometime early next week (if not today). It looks to me, all else being equal, (i.e. no meltdown in Europe), that a Higher Low is possible sometime next week (near 1100 let's say) before a 3rd leg up to . . . ? There are probably plenty of traders waiting to go long on a throwback judging from the positive divergence on the NYSI and other indicators (so it might not get to 1100 before another significant advance). Reaching 1180 on this up trend would equal 1 standard deviation above the average (1157) for the last 6 minor up swings, and now without one significant throwback. Buying interest should wane here, but 1171.4 on SPX may yet be exceeded before the minor down trend proceeds (IMHO). (By minor, I mean a 3 to 10 day trend).

Good luck out there
Last edited by rhight on Fri Feb 17, 2012 11:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
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KENA
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by KENA »

FYI..The low we just bounced off was the Pre-mkt low.Now watch
EkOnkaar
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by EkOnkaar »

rhight wrote:Good morning all,

Butting up against some serious resistance here. A throwback before advancing makes sense to me. If it turns south here on the the currently accelerated minor trend cycle, that would make a Lower High on the Daily chart sometime early next week (if not today). It looks to me, all else being equal, (i.e. no meltdown in Europe), that a Higher Low is possible sometime next week (near 1100 let's say) before a 3rd leg up to . . . ? There are probably plenty of traders waiting to go long on a throwback judging from the positive divergence on the NYSI and other indicators (so it might not get to 1100 before another significant advance). Reaching 1180 on this up trend would equal 1 standard deviation above the average (1157) for the last 6 minor up swings, and now without one significant throwback. Buying interest should wane here, but 1171.4 on SPX may yet be exceeded before the minor down trend proceeds (IMHO). (By minor, I mean a 3 to 10 day trend).

Good luck out there
I would agree. For believers of Bradley Sideograph, Oct 12th is a minor trend change, so we could continue to melt up here..
Ek
uempel
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by uempel »

Resistances: traditonal P&F points to 1180 (so is DMA 50), DMA 55 which I prefer is at 1191, DMA 377 is at 1208. But looking at the P&F: should 1180 be broken it's up, up and away. Bullish percentages support this bullish outlook.
SPXPF.png
I tried to short after the jobs info, but market moved so fast that I didn't get my minis :oops:
Last edited by uempel on Fri Oct 07, 2011 11:50 am, edited 3 times in total.
cougar
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by cougar »

cougar wrote:My swing trade:
* bought SPY Oct 22, 115 puts: progressively, as they were getting cheaper
* just finished selling (to open) SPY Oct 14, 115 puts on the way UP.
Average spread cost < $0.70
...because I have the 115.2 zone as a first support, which might hold for a while...
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BullBear52x
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by BullBear52x »

KENA wrote:FYI..The low we just bounced off was the Pre-mkt low.Now watch
Bear flag
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My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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soku
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by soku »

soku wrote:support around es 1154-1155. it seems a successful test for me. plan to short on pop
well now i don't know. 1154-1155 line holds. i smell a possible reverse pattern, and the range is too small. all plans are off for now.
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
stockcycle
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by stockcycle »

Close TZA with some profit. Better don't keep any position over weekend. I am real "day trader" today. I will have 3 good nights.
rpccharts
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rpccharts »

"BUYING THE DIP:\"after a 5 Day Squeezfest can be hazardous to your health.
Dow Trader
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by Dow Trader »

As long as ES above 1152, bulls are safe 8-)
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rhight
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Re: 10/07/2011 Intraday Watering

Post by rhight »

BullBear52x wrote:Risky Counter trend now is on, I will not over look the fact that the short term is up buy the dip is still in play. becarefull out there
I agree, 15 min 20MA still supporting SPX. I could see a drop below the 20MA, followed by another move up past 1174 to stop out a few shorts, before turning down for a few days. It seems like the 50 DMA 1178 is asking for a test, at least. Maybe a couple days above it?
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
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