Cobra's Market View

Cobra wrote:aapl update, it's weaker than I thought but still I think a rebound is due. will make the next all after I see how rebound goes.

how's $4 in 4 minutes for a bounce?

stucap wrote:

Cobra wrote:aapl update, it's weaker than I thought but still I think a rebound is due. will make the next all after I see how rebound goes.

how's $4 in 4 minutes for a bounce?

need see more bars.

very strong rebound with big volume so abort the original plan, we might have more on the upside.

Cobra wrote:very strong rebound with big volume so abort the original plan, we might have more on the upside.

Don't be to quick to change,Looks like hype.

anyone playing aapl roulette today?

I had data that showed a big down day on Monday (23rd), but for some reason I didn't believe it. Next time I will post all possibilities...

KENA wrote:

Cobra wrote:very strong rebound with big volume so abort the original plan, we might have more on the upside.

Don't be to quick to change,Looks like hype.

we have aapl after close and the fed on wed. a lot of people are going to go flat in front of this. as for the fed we seem to have 2 reg meetings prior to the end of the quarter. normally . .who cares? but during an election year most of the time they will try to avoid acting too close to the election--at least that is the common belief.

TraderGirl wrote:I had data that showed a big down day on Monday (23rd), but for some reason I didn't believe it. Next time I will post all possibilities...

just a throw away--you might try tracking projections you don't believe vs ones you do believe. maybe it's just static--but my experience is often there is a pattern to emotional response to charts.

Anyone holding puts or short 3x etfs like TZA should possibly think about trimming positions Thursday if we get a down move, momentum is waning...IMHO....

We'd have to break out of resistance to the upside, but we have already had 3 attempts...

AAPL now ramping up buy on rumors-style.

Cobra.

Do you maintain your morning call for /ES 1351.17?

mocker wrote:Cobra.

Do you maintain your morning call for /ES 1351.17?

that's not for today and yes, still possible.

taggard wrote:

TraderGirl wrote:I had data that showed a big down day on Monday (23rd), but for some reason I didn't believe it. Next time I will post all possibilities...

just a throw away--you might try tracking projections you don't believe vs ones you do believe. maybe it's just static--but my experience is often there is a pattern to emotional response to charts.

Good idea... my track record has been pretty good when it comes to what data to follow, and not to follow. Personally it has been around 80-85% correct or more, but this one was a big f-up. Next time i have ambiguous data, I will just let it play itself out... but tracking the performance is a good suggestion...

aapl option vols showing a 40 + move .. someone up asked how to get number.. nearby call vol is sharply higher than next calls.....I am throwing in a 100 calls of the 730s hit or miss . nice risk reward ratio .. for me

seeyou wrote:aapl option vols showing a 40 + move .. someone up asked how to get number.. nearby call vol is sharply higher than next calls.....I am throwing in a 100 calls of the 730s hit or miss . nice risk reward ratio .. for me

What month(s) are you looking at here?

Cobra what do you think about :

1. AAPL earnings?
2. FOMC tomorrow and markets for tomorrow?

still the bias is up. could be a H&S bottom in the forming.

may aapl..

CarlosDK wrote:Cobra what do you think about :

1. AAPL earnings?
2. FOMC tomorrow and markets for tomorrow?

aapl ER, I've posted at main site last night, check there.

FOMC usually up until announcement, then it's everybody's guess.

Ok can you today please 5min before close tell if you think up or down tomorrow Cobra? Because sometimes 2 min is a little too early ,, please tell what your feeling is based for tomorrow 5 min before close,, thank you