Cobra's Market View

Posted: **Fri Feb 15, 2013 5:02 am**

You are right, with NOK I picked a somewhat negative illustration. But the fact is hat behavioural finance never changes. Check RCA chart in 1920ies, Cisco and the others in 1998/2001, it's always the same pattern.

Googling for an old RCA chart I found this

http://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_ce ... footsteps/

Last but not least: I am a huge fan. I've got several apple devices and I love them. But behavioural finance is a different matter.

Unique wrote:
uempel wrote:
Cobra wrote:
Claire wrote:Cobra: any update on AAPL? maybe for members only? thanks
just updated in members area.
My 2 cents: aapl products are being commoditized...

I don't know who you are and what investment horizon you have. But if I were filthy rich I wouldn't hesitate to slowly build up a short position in aapl. Too many hopes and dreams in that stock and it sure will be tanking on the long run. Leon Cooperman sold recently and is out of the stock, other HFs too. I don't know what Calpers is doing.

Short term I don't know, but it ain't attractive to trade, more like playing Roulette rouge/noir. Check the nok chart here

The attachment 29.png is no longer available
I like your charts normally, but that chart in particular is fundamentally and technically flawed. Comparing the dot com bubble to now...Lol

Posted: **Fri Feb 15, 2013 5:33 am**

Harapa wrote:
uempel wrote:Wow, can you draw monthly momentum (roc 100) with MA 34? The MA is on the the momentum, not on SPX... the 1970 - 1985 area looks the most interesting to me
Here it is. Since I couldn't overlay ROC and EMA of ROC in one plot, I plotted their differences as histo in the bottom panel. Now tell us what it says

Thanks so much Harapa. I think it says that March 2009 was a low and that buying the dips makes sense - i.e. if there are any dips

So let's hope there is some kind of scare from the economic data or from some other event

Posted: **Fri Feb 15, 2013 6:55 am**

aapl short term:

I don't have an opinion short term, but I found this at Tom McClellan's website:

http://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_ce ... e_and_rca/

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