Based ONLY on the last three SPY “steps” wherein SPY moved up 2%+ after a breakout, I get a MINIMUM target for SPY at roughly 188.70.
This assumes the breakout is real and not a trap or a double top.
Also, this is “recency bias” which assumes that just because something behaved a certain way in the recent past, it will do so again this time,
which is grain-of-salt analysis……..