Petsamo wrote:Daniel-David wrote:Petsamo wrote:Another 40 cents & I'll break even on ABX
..what then? Exit at breakeven and re-consider? Rotate capital into a different mining stock? Add to existing holding? GDX has shown good RS to equitites in genl today. I'm trying to weight my pairs trades twd more long than short.
I don't know. This is the first time ever that I messed with gold or gold mining. I think I'll hold until it starts underperforming SPY.
I'm staying away from the mining sector (XME) for now (gold mining is different). Some pundits are expecting a recession on 2013 from higher taxes. I'm currently at 26% cash. I dunno if that's too high or too low.
KOL (coal) went into a falling knife posture, so I sold my KOL.
I'm baffled as to why they're trashing my AGNC & REM. Dividend yields are 16.7% & 11.5% respectively. But they're not trashing my PHK that much (dividend yield = 12.2%).
AGNC, NLY, CYS...
to a lesser extent ARR
and similar but nonagency mREITS NCT and PMT
have all been getting trashed recently. qe3 means tighter spreads for these agency reits (AGNC, NLY, CYS, ARR), means tougher time making money the way they make money - aka lending on the curve...boorrow short term for cheap, and lend for higher rates (now lever this up a ton).
NLY showed the lowered expectations in it's recent earnings report.
REM's biggest holding is NLY.
PHK is a totally different animal. Once again you're trying to make sense of Chinese using a French dictionary - these things are very different.
Not tryna knock you, even if you are a Republican

- hoping that my brief comment clears a little of it up for you though.
I'm looking to add to my ARR position via one of these other mREIT's one of these days.