Just thought to put a fundemental view on the game...
Market internals are not looking flash at all.
With the market up 11 handles the bonds should be down over 1 handle and yet they are only down some 6 points.
The euro is only teasing the market,
There is no follow through to show conviction to this move.
So I would be very concerned if a bull that this looks like a last gasp.
Liquidated all longs at 1288 and just watching..
I think the bulls are cashing in but there doesnt look to be follow thru.
I dont at the present time see shorting tho..
The wizard reckons there is more upside on Thursday after the close tho..
I reserve judgement
cheers
SB73 wrote:how about close near 129, then gap up near todays HOD thus completing the evil plan then a rip your face off sell off????
From DAX, looks like another gap up tomorrow morning is possible.
Close here today and we have another black candle...we are building a nice cluster of them. My take is gap up and follow through, kiss bear case goodbye for another period of time. Gap up and reverse bears are in business. Gap down and who knows, but bulls have not allowed bears to hold any gaps recently and the gaps have been shallow.
janez wrote:Cobra, or other trading friends,
If spy and Vix both close green (likely today?), what is the stats for tomorrow?
not sure if consecutive green VIX and SPY days was calculated...but Cobra showed 61% success rate for going short today and closing tomorrow on a day that VIX and SPY end green.
janez wrote:Cobra, or other trading friends,
If spy and Vix both close green (likely today?), what is the stats for tomorrow?
not sure if consecutive green VIX and SPY days was calculated...but Cobra showed 61% success rate for going short today and closing tomorrow on a day that VIX and SPY end green.
Oct 28 last time we have similar VIX Pos D. daily chart, MACD/RSI. I posted the chart in reply to 99er's Whoa VIX. they don't come often.
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
janez wrote:Cobra, or other trading friends,
If spy and Vix both close green (likely today?), what is the stats for tomorrow?
not sure if consecutive green VIX and SPY days was calculated...but Cobra showed 61% success rate for going short today and closing tomorrow on a day that VIX and SPY end green.
Oct 28 last time we have similar VIX Pos D. daily chart, MACD/RSI. I posted the chart in reply to 99er's Whoa VIX. they don't come often.
yeah saw that. loved seeing all the pos D on the VIX chart. now can you send the memo to the market?
support. overall, if the market close here, not a good looking daily bar. I still think this is a distribution, ever since the new year, we just gap up and sit there whole day.
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Cobra wrote:support. overall, if the market close here, not a good looking daily bar. I still think this is a distribution, ever since the new year, we just gap up and sit there whole day.
janez wrote:Cobra, or other trading friends,
If spy and Vix both close green (likely today?), what is the stats for tomorrow?
not sure if consecutive green VIX and SPY days was calculated...but Cobra showed 61% success rate for going short today and closing tomorrow on a day that VIX and SPY end green.
Oct 28 last time we have similar VIX Pos D. daily chart, MACD/RSI. I posted the chart in reply to 99er's Whoa VIX. they don't come often.
yeah saw that. loved seeing all the pos D on the VIX chart. now can you send the memo to the market?
You can only defy gravity for so long
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My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
Cobra wrote:support. overall, if the market close here, not a good looking daily bar. I still think this is a distribution, ever since the new year, we just gap up and sit there whole day.
Descending triangle?
no time now.
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Distribution ??? I have a filter that collects the ES trades of 1001 or more contracts per trade. It has many, many more entries today than for probably 4 or 5 months. Maybe distribution... who knows.
COBRA - I so much appreciate when you say "no idea what the market is doing" . I have found the market difficult to read over the past eight weeks. the "velocity" in the ES and EUR are just painfully slow and jerky. I am limiting my trades until this settles out. Thank you for all you do for us.