10/15/2014 Live Update

[user13]

CME Treasury futures traded more contracts than the previous record day by 10am

[uempel]

Anyone betting this is the capitulation day?

ertz.png

By the way, the blue cyle line is at approx 1831 ...

[uempel]

Checking out Fibs:

[Cobra]

members only update at 1:05 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/10 ... ay-update/

[Cobra]

vol surge, hopefully a rebound here first then we'll see.

[fehro]

SPX 2m

[L_T]

Is this enough of a move in TVIX to bring Rich Arab back from the dead?

[uempel]

vol surge, hopefully a rebound here first then we'll see.

Why "hopefully"? Most likely 1833 is the low for the day.

[fehro]

VIX weekly.. nearing resistance of sorts.. 30-31 range

[uempel]

I'm quite convinced SPX will rebound here - the only fact which makes me all jittery is when I look at the BPs. They sure look horrible ....

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candl ... BPFINA|B|0

[uempel]

DAX December future now down at 8500 - this suggests that DAX has lost more than 15% since its recent highs.

[daytradingES]

Remember a month or so ago Soros made the news with a several billion dollar bet short the market with SP puts?

I wonder how much he had made? $$$$

[Heck]

All signals UP on ISE

63% All opening long overvalued calls/puts
76% EQ opening long overvalued calls/puts
117% Index opening long undervalued calls/puts

https://www.ise.com/market-data/isee-index/

[Al_Dente]

October month-to-date %
Mostly juiced

[uempel]

Checking the traditional P&F:

[Heck]

Remember a month or so ago Soros made the news with a several billion dollar bet short the market with SP puts?

I wonder how much he had made? $$$$

Depends on the theta

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greeks_%28finance%29

[DellGriffith]

We've wiped out all of the SPY gains for 2014! :confetti:

[Junior Buffett]

Checking the traditional P&F:

huz.png

looks like we are below that level!

[uempel]

vol surge, hopefully a rebound here first then we'll see.

Why "hopefully"? Most likely 1833 is the low for the day.

Ha, ha, ha - I didn't expect real panic

[daytradingES]

Capitulation? Market waits for 3 pm witching hour
1 hour ago
The market had already been wavering on worries about Europe, where German bund yields fell to record lows. Greece was a source of concern, as its market plunged on concerns Athens will seek to exit the government bailout and try to go it alone.
"I think immediately you have to cut back (U.S. GDP growth expectations) a half percentage point to 2.5 based on retail sales," Rupkey said. "The consumer looks pretty dead in the water here. If it does reach 3.0 it's going to be due to the fact that goods are stacking up on store shelves due to an inventory overhang."
As traders sought safety in bonds, they were also placing bets that the Federal Reserve would not hike interest rates until later next year because of a softer economy.
"The bottom line is the omnipotence of central banks is losing its luster," Boockvar said. "The yield of the December 2015 fed funds futures contract is now down to 37 basis points and it was 75 basis points just a few weeks ago. It's down 12 basis points just today. They're still looking at at rate hikes next year, but now you're talking about the latter part of next year. Now we're looking at one to two rate hikes next year instead of the three the market was pricing in and the four the Fed forecast."
Randy Frederick, managing director, trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab, said Europe and headlines about Ebola are hurting stocks, in addition to disappointing U.S. data. But he also says the worst of the selling may be over, after the S&P 500 plunged to 1837 Wednesday morning, an 8.7 percent decline from its September highs. He too noted the last hour of trading will be the key.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/weak-us-d ... 6.html?l=1