02/19/2016 Live Update

[K447]

Test, not any better some thing different on this site the last few days ...

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[uempel]

Update:

[Out of Bounds]

A little weakness? Every time I see a trend begin to develop today, it reverses.
Use a grain of salt here.

[uempel]

219contrarian.png.png

nikman, did you see Al_Dente's post?

[fehro]

TLT pulls back to near open.. gravestone looking.. but a hammer on the weekly INDEX days.. NDX/RUT held 20d retest at LOD. UUP looks weak

[daytradingES]

attn :shm
cl moving up to test 29.69
wait to see action there
if it fail and starts down that could be a signal to short ES
(especially if ES fails below 1921.75)

[MrMiyagi]

Intraday NYMO down to +46.10 but at day's high, looks like it went to +35 area. Good recover by SPX if it holds, intraday hammer reversal.

[josephli]

219contrarian.png.png

good chart, but the key question will be whether there are more bears than 2009 & 2003 march?

[josephli]

TLT reversal. if forex and crude come back up then expect a bull run.

[Trades with cats]

regarding to AAPL: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... line-began

Thanks for that. Now we know the size of Tim's bazooka. I am constantly amazed that no one ever asks how they will pay all this debt back because if they had sufficient free cash in the US they wouldn't need to borrow and if they weren't so badly diluting shareholders with all the stock option they give themselves (again, beyond available cash) they wouldn't need to borrow.

[fehro]

TLT reversal. if forex and crude come back up then expect a bull run.

don't see a push up pattern wise on the forex or crude… intra day time frames.. .TLT move /SPX move OEW head fake? .. TLT weekly interesting hammer near the highs.. not sure on that one..

[BullBear52x]

Thanks guys for input on SLOW net work, I will have to check into it more why.

bears are on the move now, sell first ask question later type of signal.

[uempel]

Out of Bounds, how did you draw that Dome? Looks great. Is it a stockcharts tool - which I cannot find? Or some other kit? Tks.

For those who like Domes, the 3 day 5min is showing a great make up and may go to 187.63. They don't always make it, but lets see.

Like this?

[josephli]

regarding to AAPL: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... line-began

Thanks for that. Now we know the size of Tim's bazooka. I am constantly amazed that no one ever asks how they will pay all this debt back because if they had sufficient free cash in the US they wouldn't need to borrow and if they weren't so badly diluting shareholders with all the stock option they give themselves (again, beyond available cash) they wouldn't need to borrow.

potentially they sold eurobond, or they can sell a bond then do a swap. technically they can avoid bring back the money to US to pay back, but remit those payment through their Ireland shell.

[Trades with cats]

Fewer bulls seems validated by that release today that equity funds have now had 7 consecutive weeks of draw downs. As the song said "first I look at the purse" or old school "follow the cash".

[josephli]

TLT reversal. if forex and crude come back up then expect a bull run.

don't see a push up pattern wise on the forex or crude… intra day time frames.. .TLT move /SPX move OEW head fake? .. TLT weekly interesting hammer near the highs.. not sure on that one..

that was a "if". both crude and forex are notorious in their V-shape reversal so never say never.

[Trades with cats]

.[/quote]
potentially they sold eurobond, or they can sell a bond then do a swap. technically they can avoid bring back the money to US to pay back, but remit those payment through their Ireland shell.[/quote]

Sorry, I'm not buying it. If they can move cash onshore for general purposes we wouldn't constantly hear that the debt is to avoid tax, but this stuff is way beyond the CPA exam.

[MrMiyagi]

spy

qqq

[Out of Bounds]

Out of Bounds, how did you draw that Dome? Looks great. Is it a stockcharts tool - which I cannot find? Or some other kit? Tks.

For those who like Domes, the 3 day 5min is showing a great make up and may go to 187.63. They don't always make it, but lets see.

Like this?

[Al_Dente]

The attachment 219contrarian.png.png is no longer available

good chart, but the key question will be whether there are more bears than 2009 & 2003 march?

Here’s the same AAII on stockcharts, which answers your question.
“This time could be different”
The Bull % could go lower; I’d like to see it start curving back up for a “signal.”
25% is the green line for Bulls.
This is 20 years MONTHLY.
MONTHLY means UBER LONG TERM so don’t get too worked up about this.
But contrarians are taking note…