soku wrote:as we said, es shd go to 1170 on an upturn. unfortunately, it arrived there w/o me again. it will be ideal if we get around 1175 area then start to drop to 1154. now since it is couple ticks shy to the upside, i will say the low may not be too low then. where is the volatility?
wow, the drop is not what i expected. but i enjoy it.
fi es breaks 1151.5, we will test the support of high 1130s from the day before
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
rpccharts wrote:ES day session range estimate is 1138-1168. Yesterday's late weakness makes it likely that Tuesday's 1190 top will hold. I think the ES is now headed below its August low.
agnosia wrote:gap fill here we come. this market is bi-polar.
but the question is, do we then rally from the gap fill?
on my /es hourly it looked like a bull flag breakout today but that was a bull trap so i would think we are headed lower especially as cobra mentioned qqq's break down. but then again this market is capable of anything
silicon_beaver wrote:now, paging Cobra,
why market broke down 116.8, where to stop then bounce? wait for his evil plan.
no plan, not break yesterday's low yet.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
According to Kirkpatrick/Dahlquist, breakouts of flags only fail 10% to 20% of the time. A pullback to the broken flag trend (and above!) constitutes a failure. This is one of those times. A bullish argument can be made on the fact that the Daily and Weekly Stochastics could be making a bull-cross this day/week, in addition to the positive divergence on the NYSI. So, check your bias and cover your ass. I don't have any high probability trades in the picture. A Negative Price Divergence has appeared this morning on the 15 min. RSI(14) that points to 1146, implying that the gap will be closed, If the trend is changing (again) to up, then this NPR will not be confirmed.
Last edited by rhight on Fri Feb 17, 2012 11:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS